The Rebalance to Asia Under Trump

Amerikan Hegemonyasının Son Dönemlerdeki Seyri ve Çin’in Yükselişi

“…Her ne kadar 2020'lerin ortalarına kadar, Çin'in ABD'yi piyasa döviz kuruyla ölçülen GSYİH bazında geçeceği tahminine rağmen, son olarak yayınlanan 2019 nominal GSYİH verilerine göre, ABD, Çin'den üstün durumda olsa da 70 son dönemde askeri alanda "iki savaş" stratejisindeki askeri kapasitesini kaybeden ABD'nin Tablo 2'de belirtildiği üzere, satın alma gücü paritesinde de Çin'in gerisinde kaldığı belirtilmiştir. 71 79 Çin, Xi'nin iktidarı sonrasında kural koyucu bir ülke olarak, kendisini serbest ticaretin ve çok taraflılığın savunucusu bir ülke olarak liberal, kapitalist demokrasiye alternatif olarak görmektedir. 80 Bununla birlikte, Asya Pasifik'te artık çok az sayıda ülke Pekin'in yükselişine bel bağlamaktadır.…”

US-led Alliances and Contemporary International Security Disorder: Comparative Responses of the Transatlantic and Asia-Pacific Alliance Systems

“…Moreover, the tyranny of geography, in the form of the USSR’s preponderance of development west of the Urals, meant that the budding USA–USSR global competition had its epicentre in Europe, rather than the Asia-Pacific. Even Soviet intervention in the Asia-Pacific was interpreted through a European lens, as a significant reason for the US’ forceful response to the invasion of South Korea was the US’ desire to send signals of credibility to European allies, who might have interpreted US weakness on the Korean peninsula (in light of Soviet backing for the invasion) as cause for concern about abandonment should the USSR invade western Europe (Hemmer & Katzenstein, 2002, p. 597). The USA has, of course, recently moved towards a watershed ‘Asia rebalancing’ as a response to the global balance of power tilting towards the Asia-Pacific (Clinton, 2011; Cullen, 2017). By 2032 China will have displaced the USA as the world’s largest economy and three of the four largest economies (China, India, Japan) will be Asian, with South Korea and Indonesia entering the top ten and pushing out G7 and NATO members Italy and Canada.…”

“…The USA has, of course, recently moved towards a watershed ‘Asia rebalancing’ as a response to the global balance of power tilting towards the Asia-Pacific (Clinton, 2011; Cullen, 2017). By 2032 China will have displaced the USA as the world’s largest economy and three of the four largest economies (China, India, Japan) will be Asian, with South Korea and Indonesia entering the top ten and pushing out G7 and NATO members Italy and Canada.…”