The Radial Growth of Juniperus squamata Showed Sharp Increase in Response to Climate Warming on the Three-River Headwaters Region of Tibetan Plateau since the Early 21st Century

Abstract

In order to explore the impact of climate change on the ecosystem at high altitudes, dendroclimatology was used to study the response of radial growth of Juniperus squamata Buch.-Ham. ex D.Don to the rapid warming in Nangqian County over the past 60 years, and a tree-ring width chronology for 115 years was established. (1) Meteorological data showed that the temperature in Nangqian County of the Tibetan Plateau has increased continuously during the past 60 years, and the minimum temperature has had the most significant change (0.63 °C/10a), especially between 2000–2019 (0.12 °C/a). Over the same time period precipitation has not changed significantly (0.94 mm/a, p > 0.10). The standard chronology was used to reconstruct the mean temperature series from July to September in Nangqian meteorological station during the past 115 years (1905–2019). The explained variance of the reconstructed equation was 42.8% (40.8%, after adjusting for degrees of freedom). The reconstructed temperature series can be roughly divided into two stages: from 1905 to 1999, the temperature fluctuated around the average value, 12.10 °C, and from 2000 to 2019, the temperature showed a significant upward trend. (2) The analysis of the climate-tree growth relationship indicated that the response of radial growth of Juniperus squamata to temperature was significantly stronger than the response to precipitation; especially in the last 20 years, when the radial growth of Juniperus squamata was positively correlated with temperature (p < 0.01). Compared to the maximum temperature and mean temperature, the correlation between radial growth of Juniperus squamata and minimum temperature was more significant. (3) Under the background of climate warming, the radial growth trend of Juniperus squamata in Nangqian county was consistent with temperature changes. Particularly in the past 20 years, the radial growth of Juniperus squamata showed a significantly increased trend and entered a rapid growth period.