The process of international mediation: An analysis of the determinants of successful and unsuccessful outcomes

Bercovitch, Jacob; Lamare, James W.

doi:10.1080/00323269308402242

Cited by 21 publications

(5 citation statements)

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“…Regan (1996) found the number of fatalities to be directly related to the probability of success, although to a minor degree. Bercovitch and Lamare (1993) also show that a lower number of fatalities corresponded to success in mediation attempts. In our study, number of fatalities of 500 or more corresponded to unsuccessful mediation and less than 500 corresponded to successful mediation.…”

Section: Discussionmentioning

confidence: 68%

“…Very few studies have systematically analyzed the variables affecting effective international mediation. William Simkin, a noted mediator, has argued that &dquo;the variables (in mediation) are so many that it would be an exercise in futility to describe typical mediator behavior with respect to sequence, timing or the use or non-use of the various functions theoretically available&dquo; (quoted in Bercovitch and Lamare 1993). However, this has not prevented researchers from exploring just what Simkin thought would be an exercise in futility.…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

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Dynamics of International Mediation: Analysis Using Machine Learning Methods

Wickboldt

Bercovitch

Piramuthu

1999

Conflict Management and Peace Science

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This paper develops a framework to help us understand the dynamics of international mediation efforts and their consequences. This approach identifies the relevant variables that influence the success of these mediation efforts as well as the relationships among these variables in influencing mediation outcomes. The framework incorporates techniques that have been developed under the rubric of machine learning, specifically feature selection and induced decision trees. In addition to confirming some results from previous studies, results from this study provide new insights on some of the most important factors affecting international mediation.

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Section: Discussionmentioning

confidence: 68%

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Dynamics of International Mediation: Analysis Using Machine Learning Methods

Wickboldt

Bercovitch

Piramuthu

1999

Conflict Management and Peace Science

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“…- Bercovitch and Houston (1993) and Bercovitch and Langley (1993) examines the period from 1945-1990, accepting a fatality threshold of 100 fatalities and recording 97 conflicts and 42 variables, with a total of 364 mediation attempts. Bercovitch and Lamare (1993) used the same data later in 1993 and expanded the number of mediation attempts to a total of 395. - Bercovitch and Houston (1996) -examines the period from 1945-1989, accepting a fatality threshold of 100 fatalities and recording 241 conflicts and 137 conflicts involving mediation, with a total of 593 mediation attempts.…”

Section: Development Of the Datamentioning

confidence: 99%

Studying International Mediation: Developing Data Sets on Mediation, Looking for Patterns, and Searching for Answers

Bercovitch¹,

Fretter²

2007

Int Negot

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Th e study of international mediation has long been dominated by single case studies or experimental approaches. Th is article argues for a more systematic approach and advocates a cross-national, longitudinal and empirical analysis of mediation based on actual historical data. Th e kind of information this approach can yield is invaluable in disentangling the structural aspects of mediation. Th is article presents the logic, rationale, and theory behind the most extensive data set on international mediation: the Correlates of Mediation Project. Data on all formal mediation events were collected for the period 1945-1995. Th e structure of the data and some important findings are presented here. Th e advantages of data analysis are discussed and future challenges and developments are noted.Mediation has long been one of the most popular methods of international conflict management. In the current political environment, where global forces impact on internal behavior in every sphere, where weapons of terror or mass destruction threaten every state, learning how to manage conflicts effectively and peacefully is an imperative need. Conflicts in international relations can be managed by violence, negotiation, mediation, arbitration, or various forms of United Nations (UN) interventions. Of these, the most promising, and in many ways most acceptable, method is mediation. It is a voluntary method of conflict

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“…Finally, our paper speaks to a vast literature on the determinants of success of conflict resolution initiatives (Autesserre 2014; Bercovitch and Lamare 1993; Bercovitch and Derouen 2004; Maoz 1984; Thakur, 2019). By accompanying private with public expressions of national sentiment, our study embraces a more nuanced understanding of how the public can respond to the foreign policy decisions of their leaders.…”

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confidence: 97%

Symbolic Conflict Resolution and Ingroup Favoritism

Martínez

Valentim

Dinas

2023

Journal of Conflict Resolution

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What are the domestic consequences of symbolic conflict resolution? We isolate the effect of symbolic conflict by looking into a dispute with no material stakes (for one side), but high symbolic ones: the Prespa Agreement, which ended the dispute on the name of FYROM, thenceforth named North Macedonia. Greeks opposed this name because the ancient Macedonian heritage is central to their national identity. Based on social identity theory, we expect this threat to the group’s distinctiveness to increase nationalist sentiment. Using an original dataset of flags displayed in the façade of buildings in Athens and Thessaloniki, which we compare to Lisbon, we find an increase in national flags in the Greek cities after the Agreement. The effect is stronger in Thessaloniki, Greek Macedonia’s capital, where the identity threat was more pronounced. We also find that the treaty shifted voters to the right, especially those residing in the region of Macedonia.

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The process of international mediation: An analysis of the determinants of successful and unsuccessful outcomes

Cited by 21 publications

References 20 publications

Dynamics of International Mediation: Analysis Using Machine Learning Methods

Dynamics of International Mediation: Analysis Using Machine Learning Methods

Studying International Mediation: Developing Data Sets on Mediation, Looking for Patterns, and Searching for Answers

Symbolic Conflict Resolution and Ingroup Favoritism

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