1996
DOI: 10.1016/0029-5493(96)01227-7
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The probability of containment failure by direct containment heating in Zion

Abstract: This report is the first step in the resolution of the Direct Containment Heating (DCH) issue for the Zion Nuclear Power Plant using the Risk Oriented Accident Analysis Methodology (ROAAM). This report includes the definition of a probabilistic framework that decomposes the DCH problem into three probability density functions that reflect the most uncertain initial conditions (UO, mass, zirconium oxidation fraction, and steel mass). Uncertainties in the initial

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Cited by 10 publications
(6 citation statements)
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“…The initial size of such a failure is -0.025 meter (m), but melt flow through the hole will cause it to ablate to a much larger size. A final hole size of -0.4 m was computed with an ablation model (Pilch 1994~). The calculation was carried out using the melt mass (scaled to Surry, i.e., 43 metric tons (mtonnes)) and composition specified in the SASM document (Zuber et al 1991).…”
Section: Facility Geometrymentioning
confidence: 99%
“…The initial size of such a failure is -0.025 meter (m), but melt flow through the hole will cause it to ablate to a much larger size. A final hole size of -0.4 m was computed with an ablation model (Pilch 1994~). The calculation was carried out using the melt mass (scaled to Surry, i.e., 43 metric tons (mtonnes)) and composition specified in the SASM document (Zuber et al 1991).…”
Section: Facility Geometrymentioning
confidence: 99%
“…Spontaneous failure of the hot leg has been observed at these RCS pressures in more recent SCDAP/RELAP5 calculations for short-term station blackouts in Surry and Zion (Appendix C in Pilch et al 1994) if the hot leg is sufficiently hot. Mot leg failure in the long-term station blackout might also be expected because heating of the hot leg largely occurs during the Zr oxidation phase; however, STCP calculations cannot assess the likelihood of hot leg failure.…”
Section: F-2mentioning
confidence: 73%
“…Since early failure tends to have more severe consequences it is usually emphasized in APET analyses. Many mechanisms are present that can lead to early containment failure such as rapid overpressurization from severe accident phenomena such as direct containment heating that can result from reactor pressure vessel lower head failure with the primary system at high pressure [66,67] or explosive increase in pressure due to a steam explosion [68,69] or from hydrogen deflagration or detonation [70,71,72]. The main mechanism of late containment failure is through slow pressure buildup because of failure of AC-powered containment heat removal systems.…”
Section: Containment Overpressure Failurementioning
confidence: 99%