The Primacy of the Local: Identifying Terrorist Hot Spots Using Geographic Information Systems

A Bayesian Approach to Modelling Subnational Spatial Dynamics of Worldwide Non-State Terrorism, 2010–2016

“…Consistent with country level (Gassebner and Luechinger, 2011;Kurrild-Klitgaard et al, 2006) and subnational level (Nemeth et al, 2014;Python et al, 2017) findings, we found that ethnic polarization is positively associated with the severity of the attacks (S-model) (CI 95% β ethpol > 0), which supports the theory that terrorism is used as a strategy of provocation (Section 2.2). These results are further discussed in Section 4.…”

“…Moreover, Nemeth et al . () suggested that the distance to the nearest national border and altitude or slope might have an influence on terrorist activity. We extract both variables from the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration's global relief model ‘ETOPO1’, which provides altitude values at high spatial resolution (1 arc‐minute grid) (Amante and Eakins, ).…”

“…Although the relationship between altitude, slope and terrorism is not straightforward, the altitude and slope variables provide geographical information on the location of the events, which could be a determining factor for terrorists regarding their choice of target (Ross, 1993). Moreover, Nemeth et al (2014) suggested that the distance to the nearest national border and altitude or slope might have an influence on terrorist activity. We extract both variables from the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration's global relief model 'ETOPO1', which provides altitude values at high spatial resolution (1 arc-minute grid) (Amante and Eakins, 2009).…”

Does Immigration Induce Terrorism?

“…More crucially, simply focusing on 1 Some notable exceptions (e.g., Braithwaite and Li, 2007;Neumayer and Plümper, 2010;Nemeth, Mauslein and Stapley, 2014;Braithwaite, 2015;Findley, Piazza and Young, 2012;Blomberg and Hess, 2008;Li and Schaub, 2004) on the spatial dimension of terrorism do exist. However, neither do these works explicitly develop an argument based on the diffusion literature nor do they make use of spatial econometrics.…”

Crossing thresholds: The use of spatial analysis to identify intensification of the Colombian conflict

“…Braithwaite and Johnson (2012) use space-time modeling based on Knox contingency tables to summarize the number of events in time and space of the Iraqi insurgency. Nemeth, Mauslein, and Stapley (2014) use a geocoded version of Global Terrorism Database and performed Getis-Ord G* hot spots on geographic cells of 55 × 55 km to identify areas prone to domestic terrorism. All these studies deal with state boundaries issues or use size-fixed cells to measure acts of terrorism.…”