The prediction of building damages and casualties in the Kuta Alam sub district-Banda Aceh caused by different earthquake models

Rusydy, Ibnu; Muksin, Umar; Mulkal,; Idris, Yunita; Akram, Muhammad Nouval; Syamsidik, Syamsidik

doi:10.1063/1.5047297

Cited by 5 publications

(3 citation statements)

References 11 publications

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“…The understanding of seismology has developed significantly over the past decades, especially the study and modelling of earthquake-generated ground motion. Empirical ground motion models have been developed that, give an earthquake's magnitude and distance, provide numerical estimates of ground motion intensity, in terms of both physical indicators like Peak Ground Acceleration (PGA), as well as macroseismic intensities, or Modified Mercalli Intensity (MMI) (Rusydy et al 2017a;Rusydy et al 2018a;Rusydy et al 2018b). The latter are referred to as IPEs (Intensity Prediction Equations), and are particularly useful for rapidly and simply communicating earthquake hazard and risk to the media and public (Allen et al 2012;Rusydy et al 2017a;Rusydy et al 2018a).…”

Section: Earthquake Scenariomentioning

confidence: 99%

“…Hence, the study of the site characteristics, which involves the generation of a seismic hazard map, and simulating earthquake loss prediction, are crucial for Banda Aceh. The Earthquake loss prediction is a method used to estimated damages, including infrastructure, human injuries, and economic loss under different earthquake scenarios (ground shaking and liquefaction) as well as the types of building which cause human casualties (Miura et al 2008;Hashemi and Alesheikh 2011;Karimzadeh et al 2014;Rusydy et al 2017a;Guettiche et al 2017;Saputra et al 2017;Karimzadeh et al 2017;Rusydy et al 2018a;Rusydy et al 2018b;Liu et al 2019).…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

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Shallow crustal earthquake models, damage, and loss predictions in Banda Aceh, Indonesia

Rusydy

Idris

Mulkal

et al. 2020

Geoenviron Disasters

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The city of Banda Aceh stands on Holocene fluvial basin sediment, surrounded by the Aceh and Seulimeum fault segments where large magnitude earthquakes can occur at any time. Such earthquakes could cause extensive physical infrastructure damages, injuries, and economic loss. This research aims to produce several earthquake scenarios, to determine the damage ratio of the buildings and its distribution in these different scenarios and to estimate the number of potential casualties and economic loss. Data analysis in this research includes modelling an earthquake by applying a ground motion model for shallow crustal earthquakes to yield an intensity map after the correction for site effects. The damage ratios for different types of buildings were calculated using the fragility curves of buildings that were developed by other researchers. Building occupants at different times, building damage ratios, and injury ratios were used to determine the number of injured residents in the earthquake scenario. The results show that Banda Aceh could be potentially experience earthquake ground motion within the intensity range from MMI VII to IX due to earthquakes of Mw 6.5 to Mw 7.0. The Mw 7.0 earthquake on the Aceh segment is the worst case scenario, causing building damage throughout Banda Aceh with casualty rates of 3.5-20% of the population in buildings in general if it happened during daytime, with economic loss about 3320 million USD. Mitigation and preparedness programs for the Banda Aceh community are therefore very important in order to reduce the potential level of damage, personal injury, and economic loss due to future earthquakes.

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Section: Earthquake Scenariomentioning

confidence: 99%

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Shallow crustal earthquake models, damage, and loss predictions in Banda Aceh, Indonesia

Rusydy

Idris

Mulkal

et al. 2020

Geoenviron Disasters

Self Cite

View full text Add to dashboard Cite

show abstract

“…Zona subduksi yang terbentuk di sisi Baratdaya Pulau Sumatra terbentuk akibat interaksi antara lempeng Indo-Australia dengan lempeng Eurasia dan sangat mempengaruhi struktur geologi sepanjang Pulau Sumatra (McCaffrey, 2009;Muksin et al, 2018;Rusydy et al, 2018Rusydy et al, , 2020. Arah zona subduksi yang miring (oblique) antara lempeng Indo-Australia dengan lempeng Eurasia menyebabkan terbentuknya Patahan Sumatra dengan mekanisme geser menganan sepanjang 1.900 km dari Selat Sunda sampai ke Provinsi Aceh (McCaffrey, 2009;Sieh dan Natawidjaja, 2000;Rusydy et al, 2018Rusydy et al, , 2020. Posisi Patahan Sumatra terhadap lokasi penelitian dapat dilihat pada Gambar 1b.…”

Section: Geologi Regionalunclassified

Analisis Modulus Deformasi Massa Batuan Pada Segmen Jalan Usaid Km 27 Hingga Km 30 Berdasarkan Klasifikasi Massa Batuan

Rusydy¹,

Al-Huda²,

Fahmi³

et al. 2020

Ris.Geo.Tam

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A multi-period ambulance location and allocation problem in the disaster

Wang

2020

J Comb Optim

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The prediction of building damages and casualties in the Kuta Alam sub district-Banda Aceh caused by different earthquake models

Cited by 5 publications

References 11 publications

Shallow crustal earthquake models, damage, and loss predictions in Banda Aceh, Indonesia

Shallow crustal earthquake models, damage, and loss predictions in Banda Aceh, Indonesia

Analisis Modulus Deformasi Massa Batuan Pada Segmen Jalan Usaid Km 27 Hingga Km 30 Berdasarkan Klasifikasi Massa Batuan

A multi-period ambulance location and allocation problem in the disaster

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