2015
DOI: 10.1017/s0007485315000693
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The potential distribution ofBactrocera dorsalis: considering phenology and irrigation patterns

Abstract: A species in the Bactrocera dorsalis (Hendel) complex was detected in Kenya during 2003 and classified as Bactrocera invadens Drew, Tsuruta & White. Having spread rapidly throughout Africa, it threatens agriculture due to crop damage and loss of market access. In a recent revision of the B. dorsalis complex, B. invadens was incorporated into the species B. dorsalis. The potential distribution of B. dorsalis has been previously modelled. However, previous models were based on presence data and did not incorpora… Show more

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Cited by 86 publications
(83 citation statements)
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References 44 publications
(120 reference statements)
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“…Precipitation pattern but not precipitation amount interacted with infestation; the unimodal rainfall pattern was correlated with low infestation. A discrepancy in how abiotic factors correlate with either F. arisanus or its host B. dorsalis (De Villiers et al, 2015;Lane et al, 2018) might explain why biological control can be more efficient in some areas than in others. No interaction between temperature, precipitation, or rainfall pattern and F. caudatus parasitism was observed.…”
Section: Abiotic Factors: Climate and Soilmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…Precipitation pattern but not precipitation amount interacted with infestation; the unimodal rainfall pattern was correlated with low infestation. A discrepancy in how abiotic factors correlate with either F. arisanus or its host B. dorsalis (De Villiers et al, 2015;Lane et al, 2018) might explain why biological control can be more efficient in some areas than in others. No interaction between temperature, precipitation, or rainfall pattern and F. caudatus parasitism was observed.…”
Section: Abiotic Factors: Climate and Soilmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…A second major component of our study is to document morphological and genetic changes associated with the current, ongoing northward invasion of B. dorsalis into Central China. Although well-documented in tropical and sub-tropical China (Wan, Nardi, Zhang, & Liu, 2011), B. dorsalis was historically absent from Central China because of climatic unsuitability (specifically cold stress (Stephens, Kriticos, & Leriche, 2007;De Villiers et al, 2016)).…”
Section: Introductionmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…This poses a great concern not only for China, but must also to temperate Europe and North America. Climate models predict these regions to be "unsuitable" for B. dorsalis (De Villiers et al, 2016) but, given the Chinese situation, must now be con-…”
Section: Introductionmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…In 2006, a National Exotic Fruit Fly Action Plan was developed outlining trapping protocols for fruit fly detection at ports of entry and in fruit production areas (Barnes & Venter, 2006). These models were improved when De Villiers et al (2015) incorporated seasonal phenology as well as irrigation. When this plan was put in place three species were identified as high risk due to their presence on the African continent.…”
Section: Management Of Fruit Fly Invasion Risks 351mentioning
confidence: 99%