The role of hyperinsullnemia in the development of hypertension is not well understood, particularly insofar as both conditions relate to obesity. The present analysis examines the hypothesis that hyperinsulinemia, independent of obesity, precedes hypertension and natural blood pressure increases in women. The subjects were 50 -year-old women from a prospective population study in Gothenburg, Sweden. Fasting insulin levels were determined at baseline (1968)(1969) and were evaluated in relation to subsequent hypertension. Blood pressures were measured at the initial physical examination and at the 6-and 12-year follow-up examinations. The first analysis presented here (n=278) identified incident cases of hypertension during the 12-year follow-up period, whereas the second analysis (n=219) examined continuous changes in blood pressure. In both analyses, degree, type, and changes in obesity were considered as possible confounding factors. High fasting Insulin values were predictive of subsequent incidence of hypertension over the 12-year follow-up period. Subjects with insulin values above the 75th percentile experienced three times more hypertension than did those below the 25th percentile. There was also a significant association between insulin at baseline and increases in diastollc (but not systolic) blood pressure. The positive relations between fasting insulin, on one hand, and diastolic blood pressure changes and hypertension, on the other, could not be explained by confounding effects of body mass index, waist/hip ratio, or weight gain. These findings are consistent with the hypothesis that fasting insulin levels may be one predisposing factor in the etiology of hypertension. associations between hypertensive and hyperin-L. sulinemic states, the mechanisms of which are not clearly established.1 " 5 There is some evidence that elevated insulin levels might raise blood pressure by enhancing renal absorption of sodium.6 -8 It has also been proposed that insulin-induced changes in intracellular electrolyte balance might affect heart muscle and arteriole contractility, causing peripheral resistance and hypertension. 910 Alternatively, insulin may exert hypothalamic effects, with increased sympathetic activity raising heart rate and blood pressure.1112 Finally, rather than being linked by a causal pathway, insulin and blood pressure might be associated due to confounding by a third factor. Because obesity has been associated with both conditions, its possible explanatory role in the association between hyperinsulinemia and hypertension has been an additional topic of interest.13 -15 Two recent reports have suggested that the association between insulin resistance and hypertension may be specific to certain ethnic groups 16 or vary as a function of obesity. A few recent epidemiologic studies have studied this issue prospectivery, with mixed results. Salomaa et al 18 observed a small impairment of glucose tolerance in normotensive men before the onset of clinical hypertension. Skarfors et al 19 observed that fasti...