2017
DOI: 10.1111/ropr.12238
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The Polarization of American Environmental Policy: A Regression Discontinuity Analysis of Senate and House Votes, 1971–2013

Abstract: The partisan polarization of environmental policy is an important development in American politics, but it remains unclear how much such polarization reflects voter preferences, as opposed to disagreements between partisan elites. We conduct a regression discontinuity analysis of all major environmental and energy votes in the Senate and the House, 1971-2013. In total, we have 368,974 individual roll call votes by senators and House Representatives. The causal effect of electing a Democrat instead of a Republi… Show more

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Cited by 30 publications
(29 citation statements)
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“…These effects may stand in the way of compromise, collaboration, and efficient use of resources by organizations engaged in policy conflicts. Given the increasingly polarized nature of U.S. environmental policy debates (Kim & Urpelainen, ) and the general polarization of partisan politics in the United States (McCright, Xiao, & Dunlap, ), attention to improving policy debates through overcoming cognitive and experiential biases is critical. Insights from social psychology may provide some guidance on how the devil shift may be reduced within local policy debates.…”
Section: Resultsmentioning
confidence: 99%
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“…These effects may stand in the way of compromise, collaboration, and efficient use of resources by organizations engaged in policy conflicts. Given the increasingly polarized nature of U.S. environmental policy debates (Kim & Urpelainen, ) and the general polarization of partisan politics in the United States (McCright, Xiao, & Dunlap, ), attention to improving policy debates through overcoming cognitive and experiential biases is critical. Insights from social psychology may provide some guidance on how the devil shift may be reduced within local policy debates.…”
Section: Resultsmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…The finding that extreme policy belief is associated with a stronger expression of the devil shift confirms earlier findings and adds credence to the Sabatier et al () findings that the degree of distance between policy beliefs will at least partially determine the expression and degree of devil shifting observed. As recent research in the U.S. context indicates, environmental politics are increasingly polarized resulting in more barriers to the creation of environmental policy and less cooperation between coalitions on important wicked problem such as climate change (Kim & Urpelainen, ). This finding is also mirrored in a Pew Center Report which finds that the more ideologically extreme beliefs a person holds the more likely he or she is to believe the other side should be the one that compromises (Pew Research Center, , p. 56).…”
Section: Discussionmentioning
confidence: 99%
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“…More specific analyses of public opinion on climate change by Ansolabehere and Konisky (2014) and Mildenberger and Leiserowitz (2017) also corroborate the importance of political ideology and party identity, and provide evidence that polarization is increasing over time. Kim and Urpelainen (2017) also offer evidence of increasing polarization between Democrat and Republican elites, with Democrats much more sympathetic toward environmental concerns than Republicans.…”
Section: Previous Researchmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…Whereas both major political parties competed for environmental voters at the onset of the modern environmental era, environmental protection is now perceived as an issue "owned" by the Democratic Party (Egan 2013). This issue ownership is also reflected in the severe partisan polarization that now exists, at both the elite (Jeong and Lowry 2019;Kim and Urpelainen 2017;Shipan and Lowry 2001) and mass public level (Egan and Mullin 2017). Partisan polarization has contributed to gridlock in Congress, which has resulted in a prolonged period of legislative inactivity on environmental issues (Klyza and Sousa 2013).…”
mentioning
confidence: 99%