The Path to Below Replacement-Level Fertility in Thailand

Hirschman, Charles; Tan, JooEan; Chamratrithirong, Aphichat; Guest, Philip

doi:10.2307/2133509

Cited by 27 publications

(19 citation statements)

References 5 publications

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“…By ages 35-39, this percentage increases to about 84 and the women have on average just over three children. This latter prediction is close to the census statistic reported in Hirschman, Tan, Chamratrithirong, and Guest (1994) for a similar group of women. We then examine how these predictions change if we vary one characteristic at a time holding the other characteristics constant.…”

Section: Predictionssupporting

confidence: 90%

“…Completed fertility (the number of children at ages 35-39) decreases by almost one child for women with a primary-level education up to almost 1.5 children for women with the highest level of education. This prediction is in line with aggregated census statistics in Hirschman et al (1994) for all types of women, which show about a 1.8 difference in TFR in 1981/83 and around a difference of 1 in 1988/89 between women with no education and those that are most highly educated. In general, this table shows that the largest differences in contraceptive experience and number of children occur between women with no education (including illiterate women) and women with at least a primary education.…”

Section: Predictionssupporting

confidence: 88%

“…The dominant pattern from this table is a strong increase in having had contraceptive experience at all ages with later birth cohorts. Similarly, the number of children decreases the later the birth cohort, although this decrease is much smaller than the almost one-child decline in TFR in one generation reported in Hirschman et al (1994) based on census data. This difference may well result from the fact that in Table 5, we hold other factors (e.g., education level) constant.…”

Section: Predictionsmentioning

confidence: 70%

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The effects of setting up a National Family Planning Program in local communities on women's contraceptive experiences and fertility in rural Thailand

Kalwij

2016

Asian Population Studies

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It is widely documented that Thailand's National Family Planning Program (NFPP) has been successful in increasing contraceptive prevalence and reducing fertility. In this paper, we investigate to what extent setting up the NFPP between the mid 1960s and the early 1990s in local communities per se has added to this success. For this, we use data from the 1992/93 Survey on the Status of Women and Fertility in Thailand (SWAFT). We find that presence of the NFPP in a community is associated with less than two percentage points higher proportion of women with contraceptive experience at ages 15-19, to about six percentage points higher proportion at ages 35-39, and with about a 3 per cent lower completed fertility. Although these associations are relatively small, they are significant and may suggest that setting up the NFPP in local communities per se has been important for a small group of hard-to-reach women with unmet contraceptive needs.

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Section: Predictionssupporting

confidence: 90%

Section: Predictionssupporting

confidence: 88%

Section: Predictionsmentioning

confidence: 70%

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The effects of setting up a National Family Planning Program in local communities on women's contraceptive experiences and fertility in rural Thailand

Kalwij

2016

Asian Population Studies

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“…By the late 1980s, Thailand's TFR had dropped below replacement-level to fewer than two births per woman (compared with about seven births per woman just two decades earlier) and currently remains low at 1.7 (Hirschman, Tan, Chamratrithirong, & Guest, 1994;Population Reference Bureau, 2007b).…”

Section: Facing the Challenges Of Rapid Population Growth: Politics Amentioning

confidence: 99%

Family planning and reproductive health: the link to environmental preservation

et al. 2007

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This paper seeks to refocus the attention of environmentalists on the importance of population trends to environmental sustainability and identifies prevention of unintended pregnancy as potential common ground for environmentalists and family planning advocates. The health and other welfare benefits of preventing unintended pregnancy are felt most keenly by individual women, men, and their families. At the same time, however, preventing unwanted pregnancies usually results in smaller family size, an important factor in slowing population growth and, as a result, a source of broader benefits-including environmental benefits-to society.Keywords Population Á Environment Á Family planning Á Reproductive health Á Unintended pregnancy Á HIV/AIDS Population-environment interactions: population growth, consumption, and human impact As much as half of the Earth's total biological productivity has already been diverted to human use, depleting our natural resources and impairing the capacity of life-supporting ecosystems (

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“…The fraction of currently married women aged 15-44 using some method of contraception increased from 15% in 1969 to 65% in 1984 (Knodel et al 1987); by 1987, 68% were contracepting (Chayovan et al 1988). Concomitant with this increase in contraceptive prevalence was a decline in the total fertility rate, from about 6.6 in the 1966 to 3.5 in 1984, and now to a point where Thailand is at or below replacement levels (Hirschman et al 1994;United Nations 1991). These changes were brought about by a pre-existing latent demand for contraception in a cultural context that was open to contraceptive use, by an effective family planning program, and in conjunction with a rapidly modernizing economy (see Knodel et al 1987).…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

The family building life course and contraceptive use: Nang Rong, Thailand

Rindfuss

Guilkey

Entwisle

et al. 1996

Popul Res Policy Rev

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This paper incorporates the insights of the life course perspective in an examination of the determinants of contraceptive use. It views decision-making about contraceptive methods in the context of personal history and the broader social setting. Three stages in the reproductive life course of married women are considered. In the early years, timing decisions dominate. Contraception is used to delay the first birth and control the tempo of fertility. Mid-career, the major concern is whether to have a sterilizing operation. Towards the end of the fecund period, couples must decide when to stop using contraception, given that they have not already opted for sterilization. We examine choice among nonpermanent methods, as well as sterilization, in the context of a theoretical model that explicitly recognizes the permanence of the sterilization decision. Our statistical procedures control for unobserved community influences. The data are from Nang Rong district, Thailand, a relatively poor area near the Cambodian border under going substantial socioeconomic change during the 1980s. Our results clearly show variation in method choice over the reproductive life course, and variation in the effects of specific determinants including age of husband and wife, living arrangements, and village location. They also demonstrate gains in the understanding of any particular stage in the life course that accrue from an integrated examination of all of them.

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The Path to Below Replacement-Level Fertility in Thailand

Cited by 27 publications

References 5 publications

The effects of setting up a National Family Planning Program in local communities on women's contraceptive experiences and fertility in rural Thailand

The effects of setting up a National Family Planning Program in local communities on women's contraceptive experiences and fertility in rural Thailand

Family planning and reproductive health: the link to environmental preservation

The family building life course and contraceptive use: Nang Rong, Thailand

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