The NOAA Weather Prediction Center’s Use and Evaluation of Experimental Warn-on-Forecast System Guidance
KATIE A. WILSON,
NUSRAT YUSSOUF,
PATRICK S. SKINNER
et al.
Abstract:This study examines use of experimental Warn-on-Forecast System (WoFS) guidance for short-term flash flood prediction at the NOAA Weather Prediction Center’s Meteorological Watch (Metwatch) desk. The WoFS guidance provides storm-scale ensemble forecasts for individual thunderstorms out to six hours and has previously shown great promise in its predictive skill for heavy rainfall events. Its operational utility was examined during 2019 and 2020 in a formal collaboration between Warn-on-Forecast scientists and M… Show more
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