The new nature of nation‐state failure

Rotberg, Robert I.

doi:10.1162/01636600260046253

Cited by 192 publications

(112 citation statements)

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“…The Repression Capacity Index is expected to be a negative predictor of terrorism because countries with high coefficients are able to mobilize considerable repressive capacity to deal with terrorist threats, thereby reducing the chances that terrorists will be successful or see the country as a lucrative target. State Failures is expected to be a positive predictor of terrorism for the same reason that Regime Durability is: countries beset with severe political instability are more likely to experience terrorism as avenues for non-violent political expression are closed, a desperate population is perhaps more receptive to radical political messages and states become less able to prevent terrorist attacks (Rotberg, 2002;Takeyh and Gvosdev, 2002).…”

Section: Discussionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Do Democracy and Free Markets Protect Us From Terrorism?

Piazza

2007

Int Polit

112

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Section: Discussionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Do Democracy and Free Markets Protect Us From Terrorism?

Piazza

2007

Int Polit

112

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“…And ultimately, long-established observers of African politics like Rotberg (2002) reckon that failure to deliver such positive political goods as education and health is a sure sign of impending state failure. Such failure in itself is said to be an almost certain recipe for violence, which in worst case scenarios cascades into all-out internal war.…”

Section: Resultsmentioning

confidence: 99%

From low-conflict polity to democratic civil peace: Explaining Zambian exceptionalism

Burnell

2005

African Studies

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An absence of civil war and other significant sub-state violence makes Zambia an exceptional although not unique case in central-southern Africa. The literature devoted to explaining civil war has grown dramatically in recent years, but while it pays much attention to sub-Saharan Africa only rarely does it investigate counterfactual cases like Zambia. Similarly the growing field of research into postconflict reconstruction fails to capture the distinct features of persistently low-conflict situations where many of the predisposing conditions for violent conflict might seem to be present. This paper examines Zambia's experience against a background of general theories that try to explain conflict. It is an "interpretative case study". The paper proceeds by substantiating Zambia's claim to a relatively peaceful record and introduces ideas of conflict and conflict theories, before arguing that no single general theory dwelling on just one primary "cause" will suffice to explain Zambian exceptionalism. The precise mix of arguments differs for each one Zambia's three republican eras, as the potential threats to peace have themselves evolved over the period since independence. The paper's main theoretical claim is that over time the explanation is both multi-layered and dynamic. That said, certain features do stand out, most notably an inherited political culture that is predisposed against the violent resolution of conflict and continues to insulate the country against social and economic traumas and democratic shortcomings.

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“…Estados frágeis são comumente entendidos como aqueles Estados que se tornam incapazes de fornecer bens públicos à sua população e, por consequência, perdem legitimidade frente aos seus cidadãos (LAMBACH; DEBIEL, 2010;ROTBERG, 2002). Essa definição não é consensual, mas resume de forma apropriada a principal característica de um Estado frágil: sua dificuldade em exercer as funções que lhe são atribuídas pelo povo.…”

Section: Estados Proliferadores Fracos: Uma Nova Agenda De Segurançaunclassified

Estados frágeis e proliferação nuclear: uma agenda de segurança pós-Guerra Fria

Gontijo¹

2016

Carta Int. ABRI

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ResumoApós o fim da Guerra Fria, a questão da proliferação nuclear ascendeu na agenda de segurança internacional. Central para esse debate é a possibilidade de emergirem Estados nucleares frágeis, cuja potencial instabilidade política doméstica poderia colocar em risco o controle estatal sobre o arsenal nuclear e sobre materiais e tecnologias sensíveis. Dessa forma, é possível que Estados frágeis, ao adquirirem armamentos nucleares, representem uma ameaça mais séria à segurança internacional do que Estados mais estáveis. Este artigo discute, então, a emergência dos Estados proliferadores frágeis como um tema fundamental da agenda nuclear. A primeira seção traz uma contextualização desse tema no contexto internacional pós-Guerra Fria. Em seguida, discutimos o significado de Estados frágeis e de suas políticas proliferadoras. Posteriormente, discutimos as consequências da proliferação nuclear, debate que não se restringe ao problema dos Estados frágeis. Após essas discussões teóricas, nos voltamos para a discussão de um exemplo de Estado proliferador fraco, com uma apreciação do programa nuclear do Paquistão, que pode ser considerado, entre os atuais Estados com capacidade nuclear, o caso emblemático de um Estado frágil. Finalmente, concluímos com uma reflexão sobre a importância das políticas internacionais de não proliferação e de desarmamento.Palavras-chave: Proliferação nuclear; Estados frágeis; Não proliferação; Consequências da proliferação; Segunda era nuclear. AbstractAfter the end of the Cold War, nuclear proliferation concerns rose in the international security agenda. Central in this debate is the emergence of fragile states with nuclear 1 Doutoranda em Relações Internacionais no Programa de Pós-Graduação San Tiago Dantas (UNESP, UNICAMP, PUC-SP).Artigo recebido em 17/05/2016 e aprovado em 08/09/2016.Rev. Carta Inter., Belo Horizonte, v. 11, n. 2, 2016, p. 28-52 29Raquel Gontijo capability, whose potential political instability might put in check the governmental control over the nuclear arsenal, as well as over sensitive materials and technologies. Because of this, fragile states with nuclear capability may represent a greater threat to international security than more stable states. In this article, we discuss the importance of nuclear fragile states for nuclear policies. In the first section, we contextualize this theme in the post-Cold War security environment. Afterwards, we discuss the meaning of fragile states and their efforts to become nuclear powers. In the following section, we present the debate on the consequences of nuclear proliferation, which goes beyond the issue of fragile states. We then turn to a discussion of a nuclear capable fragile state, with an analysis of Pakistan's nuclear program. Finally, we conclude with a reflection on the importance of international non-proliferation and disarmament efforts.

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The new nature of nation‐state failure

Cited by 192 publications

References 0 publications

Do Democracy and Free Markets Protect Us From Terrorism?

Do Democracy and Free Markets Protect Us From Terrorism?

From low-conflict polity to democratic civil peace: Explaining Zambian exceptionalism

Estados frágeis e proliferação nuclear: uma agenda de segurança pós-Guerra Fria

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