1989
DOI: 10.1093/brain/112.6.1419
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The Natural History of Multiple Sclerosis: A Geographically Based Study

Abstract: Controversy exists regarding the predictive value of the early clinical course of multiple sclerosis (MS). Three parameters often considered are the attack rate, the first interattack interval and the rate at which disability develops in the early years of the disease. We have recorded the time to reach successive levels of disability defined by the Kurtzke Disability Status Scale (DSS) in 1,099 MS patients followed at University Hospital, London, Canada between 1972 and 1984. Our population is particularly su… Show more

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Cited by 693 publications
(478 citation statements)
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“…RRMS is the most common MS subtype that includes Ϸ85% of the patients at initial presentation. The secondary progressive pattern is known to follow RRMS in Ϸ50% of the cases after 10 years of disease activity (18,19). Thus, these two subtypes might be considered as a continuous process starting with a common pathophysiological origin.…”
Section: Discussionmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…RRMS is the most common MS subtype that includes Ϸ85% of the patients at initial presentation. The secondary progressive pattern is known to follow RRMS in Ϸ50% of the cases after 10 years of disease activity (18,19). Thus, these two subtypes might be considered as a continuous process starting with a common pathophysiological origin.…”
Section: Discussionmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…However, the increased time to reach the milestone of requiring aid to walk 100 m in women has been found to be restricted to adult-onset MS and was not present in late-onset MS, when the incidence of progressive disease onset increases [38]. This MS subtype, which starts with slowly progressive neurological symptoms, is widely recognized to be predictive of a shorter time to reach the milestones of progression in MS than the MS subtype which starts with relapses [19,21,39,40]. …”
Section: Female Gender In Ms: Ms Risk Versus Progression From Onsetmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…Per questi motivi, pur con le approssimazioni derivanti dalla schematizzazione di un quadro clinico assai complesso, l'evoluzione della malattia può essere valutata, nel modello di Markov, utilizzando tre matrici di transizione, che forniscono: la probabilità di progressione di disabilità nella forma SMRR, la probabilità di conversione da una forma SMRR alla forma SMSP e la probabilità di progressione di disabilità nella forma SMSP. Le probabilità usate per descrivere la storia naturale della malattia sono state desunte dal database London Ontario, uno dei registri osservazionali più completi e duraturi su pazienti affetti da sclerosi multipla, che ha raccolto informazioni longitudinalmente tra il 1972 e il 2000 [23][24][25]. Per quanto riguarda le ricadute, i tassi per paziente/anno in assenza di trattamento, sono stati ricavati dagli studi registrativi di dimetil-fumarato [15,16], che documentano la frequenza annuale di accadimento, nei 12 mesi precedenti all'ingresso negli studi clinici, per i pazienti con EDSS ≤ 5.…”
Section: Storia Naturale Della Malattiaunclassified