“…The new model might be the key to understanding how the shallow supply system works, and because it is linked to surface observations of lava effusion, and thus to erupted lava volumes, it could pave the way to forecasting of future paroxysms. [Bonaccorso et al, 2003], [Burton et al, 2008], [Calvari et al, 2005a], [Calvari et al, 2005b], [Calvari et al, 2006], [Calvari et al, 2010], , [Lodato et al, 2007], [Neri and Lanzafame, 2009] and ).…”