2018
DOI: 10.1016/j.tree.2018.02.007
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The Missing Response to Selection in the Wild

Abstract: Although there are many examples of contemporary directional selection, evidence for responses to selection that match predictions are often missing in quantitative genetic studies of wild populations. This is despite the presence of genetic variation and selection pressures – theoretical prerequisites for the response to selection. This conundrum can be explained by statistical issues with accurate parameter estimation, and by biological mechanisms that interfere with the response to selection. These biologic… Show more

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Cited by 111 publications
(109 citation statements)
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“…Today, the focus is slowly shifting towards the understanding of the mechanisms and evolutionary consequences of non-genetic inheritance, which remains one of the major challenges of modern biology (Bonduriansky, 2012;Kappeler & Meaney, 2012;Danchin, 2013;Grossniklaus et al, 2013;Klironomos, Berg & Collins, 2013;Heard & Martienssen, 2014;Bohacek & Mansuy, 2015;Kronholm & Collins, 2015;Sharma, 2015;Szyf, 2015;Klosin & Lehner, 2016;Wang et al, 2017;Pujol et al, 2018). In this context, a crucial question is 'whether there is a mechanism that could then fix these epigenetically driven phenotypic changes in the genetic sequence, thereby altering the course of evolution' (Szyf, 2014, p. 4).…”
Section: (B) To the Study Of Its Underlying Mechanismsmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…Today, the focus is slowly shifting towards the understanding of the mechanisms and evolutionary consequences of non-genetic inheritance, which remains one of the major challenges of modern biology (Bonduriansky, 2012;Kappeler & Meaney, 2012;Danchin, 2013;Grossniklaus et al, 2013;Klironomos, Berg & Collins, 2013;Heard & Martienssen, 2014;Bohacek & Mansuy, 2015;Kronholm & Collins, 2015;Sharma, 2015;Szyf, 2015;Klosin & Lehner, 2016;Wang et al, 2017;Pujol et al, 2018). In this context, a crucial question is 'whether there is a mechanism that could then fix these epigenetically driven phenotypic changes in the genetic sequence, thereby altering the course of evolution' (Szyf, 2014, p. 4).…”
Section: (B) To the Study Of Its Underlying Mechanismsmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…Their predictive power worked efficiently for the genetic improvement of complex traits in many animal and plant breeding programs. Yet when spatio-temporal ecological heterogeneity is involved, evolution in the wild remains largely unpredictable (Pemberton 2010;Pujol et al 2018).…”
Section: Impact Summarymentioning
confidence: 99%
“…Yet when spatio‐temporal ecological heterogeneity is involved, evolution in the wild remains largely unpredictable (Pemberton ; Pujol et al. ).…”
mentioning
confidence: 99%
“…By exploring evolutionary potential in a fish species, our study complements a growing literature reviewed by Pujol et al (2018), most of which has been on birds and mammals, showing how mismatches between predicted and observed microevolution can result from a range of biological and statistical mechanisms. We used the Δβ test to infer that missing traits correlated with female body size were likely present, and thus that using the estimated phenotypic selection gradient in the univariate BE will likely lead to a biased microevolutionary prediction-that is that larger body size should evolve, when in fact no evolutionary trend was observed, nor was any predicted by the STS.…”
Section: Discussionmentioning
confidence: 96%