7.7, 13.5, 19.7 and 21.0 months, respectively (p<0.001).
Conclusion: We identified easily available prognostic factors for prolonged survival in patients treated with gemcitabine.Pancreatic adenocarcinoma (PA) is the fourth cause of cancer-related deaths (1). Surgical resection represents the only hope for cure but only 10-20% of patients present with a surgically-resectable tumour.For advanced and metastatic PA, systemic chemotherapy with single-agent nucleoside analogue gemcitabine is currently recommended as a standard in first-line treatment, with a significantly improved quality of life, and a median overall survival (OS) of 6-9 months (2). Although the absolute survival benefit remains poor and controversial, some patients (18%) survive more than 12 months (2). Gemcitabine chemotherapy has represented the single standard therapy for PA for more than a decade. Recently, a randomized trial compared gemcitabine and 5-fluorouracil/leucovorin/irinotecan/oxaliplatin combination (FOLFIRINOX) in front-line treatment of 342 patients with locally advanced or metastatic PA (3). The FOLFIRINOX regimen was superior to gemcitabine in terms of OS (11.1 vs. 6.8 months), progression-free survival (PFS) (6.4 vs. 3.3 months), and objective response rate (31.6 vs. 9.4%). Moreover, a recent update indicated that FOLFIRINOX was also superior in terms of quality of life (4). FOLFIRINOX is now the standard therapy in FRANCE. Yet FOLFIRINOX use is restricted to selected patients with preserved Eastern Cooperative Oncology Group performance status of 0-1, and with normal bilirubinemia. The toxicity of FOLFIRINOX is significant, especially in regard to the cumulative oxaliplatinrelated neurotoxicity. To avoid this toxicity, it would be useful to have easily available factors predictive of long survival with gemcitabine alone. The aim of the present study was to assess these potent predictive factors.
Patients and MethodsPatients. We conducted a multicentric retrospective study between 1999 and 2010 at two centres in northern France before the advent of FOLFIRINOX (3). Inclusion criteria were: age >18 years; an histologically confirmed PA or a tumour radiologically suggestive of PA growing between two different computed tomographic (CT) scans or magnetic resonance imaging (MRI); locally advanced or metastatic tumor, and no previous chemotherapy.Gemcitabine was administered at 1,000 mg/m 2 intravenously over 30 minutes weekly for 7 weeks followed by a 1-week break. Subsequent cycles consisted of weekly administrations 3 weeks out of 4. Radiological evaluations by CT scan or MRI were repeated every 2 months. Gemcitabine was stopped if the patient presented 731