The Long-Term effects of COVID-19 on travel behavior in the United States: A panel study on work from home, mode choice, online shopping, and air travel

Javadinasr, Mohammadjavad; Maggasy, Tassio; Mohammadi, Motahare; Mohammadain, Abolfazl Kouros; Rahimi, Ehsan; Salon, Deborah; Conway, Matthew Wigginton; Pendyala, Ram M.; Derrible, Sybil

doi:10.1016/j.trf.2022.09.019

Cited by 65 publications

(21 citation statements)

References 30 publications

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“…Moreover, this heightened relevance of local accessibility can be expected to remain, at least partially, once the pandemic is over, as post-pandemic frequencies of telecommuting are expected to be higher than pre-pandemic levels (Javadinasr et al 2022). This work complements past studies which have concluded that teleworkers have a higher frequency of active travel (Chakrabarti 2018;Elldér 2020).…”

Section: Discussion and Policy Implicationmentioning

confidence: 99%

“…It is this context that has led to the speculation that the increasing frequency of telecommuting due to the COVID-19 pandemic can result in a more frequent use of active modes of transport (Nurse and Dunning 2020). However, studies during the COVID-19 pandemic have associated higher telework frequency with a potential increase in car use once the pandemic is over (Javadinasr et al 2022). Thus, given that the pandemic context may have changed the relationship between teleworking and mode choice, analyses of the relationship between active travel and telecommuting need to be revisited.…”

Section: Literature Reviewmentioning

confidence: 99%

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Studying the Interrelationship between Telecommuting during COVID-19, residential local accessibility, and active travel: a panel study in Montréal, Canada

Victoriano-Habit

El-Geneidy

2023

Transportation

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The COVID-19 pandemic led to a substantial increase in the number of people working from home (telecommuting), in turn leading to unprecedented changes in mobility patterns worldwide. Due to the changing context of the pandemic, there is still a significant gap in knowledge regarding the effects of working from home on workers' travel patterns. The main goal of this work is to unravel the interrelationship between telecommuting during the COVID-19 pandemic, the frequency of active travel for non-work utilitarian purposes, and local accessibility levels around workers' homes. This study uses a longitudinal approach by analyzing travel and telecommuting behavior data from a two-wave survey administered in Montreal in 2019, pre-pandemic, and 2021, during COVID-19 (n = 452). Through a set of weighted multi-level linear regressions, we study the effects of telecommuting on the frequency of active travel for non-work utilitarian purposes, mediated by local accessibility around the household. Results show that the effect of telecommuting on non-work active travel for utilitarian purposes is highly dependent on local accessibility levels around the person's household. For workers living in high local accessibility areas, an increase in telecommuting during the pandemic has induced an increase in active trips for non-work utilitarian purposes. On the other hand, for workers residing in low local accessibility neighborhoods, the effect is the opposite. This research provides insights into the effects of telecommuting on non-work active travel, an area that is currently of interest to policy-makers and practitioners working towards increasing the level of physical activity among individuals through travel.

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Section: Discussion and Policy Implicationmentioning

confidence: 99%

Section: Literature Reviewmentioning

confidence: 99%

Studying the Interrelationship between Telecommuting during COVID-19, residential local accessibility, and active travel: a panel study in Montréal, Canada

Victoriano-Habit

El-Geneidy

2023

Transportation

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“…For example, using protection motivation theory, Mashrur et al (29) found that the tendency to adopt protective measures against COVID-19 reduced the likelihood that an individual would use public transit post-pandemic. Similarly, Javadinasr et al (30) found that individuals in the U.S.A. who believed there was a high risk of contracting COVID-19 while using transit displayed a greater propensity to use transit less often post-pandemic than they did pre-pandemic. Moreover, descriptive studies tend to find that certain pre-pandemic transit and ride-sourcing users will not return to these services post-pandemic (31)(32)(33)(34).…”

Section: Literature Reviewmentioning

confidence: 96%

Identifying the Determinants of Anticipated Post-Pandemic Mode Choices in the Greater Toronto Area: A Stated Preference Study

Loa

Habib

2023

Transportation Research Record: Journal of the Transportation R

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The COVID-19 pandemic had a significant impact on travel mode choices in cities across the world. Driven by perceptions of risk and the fear of infection, the pandemic resulted in an increased preference for private vehicles and active modes and a reduced preference for public transit and ride-sourcing. As travel behavior and modal preferences evolve, a key question is whether the pandemic will result in long-term changes to travel mode choices. This study uses data from a web-based survey to examine the factors influencing mode choices for non-commuting trips in the post-pandemic era. Specifically, it uses stated preference data to develop a random parameter mixed logit model, which is used to compare the elasticity of key variables across different income and age groups. The results of the study highlight the influence of sociodemographic attributes and pre-pandemic travel habits on anticipated post-pandemic mode choices. Additionally, the results suggest that frequent users of private vehicles, public transit, and active modes are likely to continue to use these modes post-pandemic. Furthermore, the results highlight the potential for the perception of shared modes to influence post-pandemic mode choice decisions. The results of the study offer insights into policy measures that could be applied to address the increased use of private vehicles and reduced use of transit during the pandemic, while also emphasizing the need to ensure that certain segments of the population can maintain a sufficient level of mobility and access to transport.

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“… Hotle et al ( 2020 ) USA Generalized ordered logit regression Survey All types A recent personal experience with influenza-like symptoms & being female significantly increased risk perception at mandatory & medical trip locations. Javadinasr et al ( 2022 ) USA Ordered probit model Survey All types 48% of the respondents anticipate having the option to WFH after the pandemic, which indicates an approximately 30% increase compared to the pre-pandemic period. In the post-pandemic period, auto and transit commuters are expected to be 9% and 31% less than pre-pandemic, respectively Jiao & Azimian ( 2021 ) USA Binary logit model Survey All types Age, gender, educational status, marital status, work loss, difficulty with expenses, household size, work type, income, health status, & anxiousness were associated with changes in travel behavior.…”

Section: Overall Impacts Of the Pandemic On Mobility Regardless Of Go...mentioning

confidence: 99%

“…Many studies conducted preference surveys and demonstrated significant travel behavior changes with different perspectives and impacts on sociodemographic groups (Ferreira et al 2022;Javadinasr et al 2022;Szczepanek and Kruszyna 2022;Downey et al 2022;Zhou et al 2022;Currie et al 2021;Echaniz et al 2021;Abdullah et al 2020;Morita et al 2020;Tan and Ma 2021;Shakibaei et al 2020;Ghader et al 2020;Przybylowski et al 2021;Pan et al 2020). All survey results indicated that the pandemic impacted mode choice behavior, with people avoiding crowded places to maintain social distance, which resulted in significantly reduced public transport and shared mobility demand owing to health concerns, and increased dependence on private vehicles (Oestreich et al 2023;Nian et al 2020).…”

Section: Changes In Personal Travel Behavior Based On Surveysmentioning

confidence: 99%

Systematic literature review on impacts of COVID-19 pandemic and corresponding measures on mobility

Lee

Eom

2023

Transportation

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The unprecedented COVID-19 outbreak has significantly influenced our daily life, and COVID-19’s spread is inevitably associated with human mobility. Given the pandemic’s severity and extent of spread, a timely and comprehensive synthesis of the current state of research is needed to understand the pandemic’s impact on human mobility and corresponding government measures. This study examined the relevant literature published to the present (March 2023), identified research trends, and conducted a systematic review of evidence regarding transport’s response to COVID-19. We identified key research agendas and synthesized the results, examining: (1) mobility changes by transport modes analyzed regardless of government policy implementation, using empirical data and survey data; (2) the effect of diverse government interventions to reduce mobility and limit COVID-19 spread, and controversial issues on travel restriction policy effects; and (3) future research issues. The findings showed a strong relationship between the pandemic and mobility, with significant impacts on decreased overall mobility, a remarkable drop in transit ridership, changes in travel behavior, and improved traffic safety. Government implemented various non-pharmaceutical countermeasures, such as city lockdowns, travel restrictions, and social distancing. Many studies showed such interventions were effective. However, some researchers reported inconsistent outcomes. This review provides urban and transport planners with valuable insights to facilitate better preparation for future health emergencies that affect transportation.

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The Long-Term effects of COVID-19 on travel behavior in the United States: A panel study on work from home, mode choice, online shopping, and air travel

Cited by 65 publications

References 30 publications

Studying the Interrelationship between Telecommuting during COVID-19, residential local accessibility, and active travel: a panel study in Montréal, Canada

Studying the Interrelationship between Telecommuting during COVID-19, residential local accessibility, and active travel: a panel study in Montréal, Canada

Identifying the Determinants of Anticipated Post-Pandemic Mode Choices in the Greater Toronto Area: A Stated Preference Study

Systematic literature review on impacts of COVID-19 pandemic and corresponding measures on mobility

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