The Life Cycle of a Terrorism Crisis: Impact on Tourist Travel

Abstract

The impact of terrorist events on various business sectors has been widely publicized, and the tourism travel industry has been one of the most impacted industries. Prior work has shown that air travel is affected by a terrorist incident within the region in which it occurred. This research is the first to model the magnitude of the episode, the duration of the effect, and the shape of life the cycle. Two terrorism events that affected tourist air travel are analyzed: 9/11 and the Madrid train bombings. Our findings suggest that the impact on tourist air travel from these catastrophes follow scalable and fad life cycles, respectively. These results have significant implications for the tourism travel industry, which are identified and discussed.

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“…En otro sentido, Kapczynski y Szromek ( 2008) analizaban el ciclo de vida de spas en Polonia entre 1949Moss et al (2008) estudiaron los eventos terroristas del 9/11 y de los bombardeos al sistema de tren en Madrid en 2004, y su afectación al ciclo de vida del área turística; Cohen (2007) ahondaba en desastres naturales de Tailandia relacionados con el turismo y el agravamiento de estos a partir de la acción humana; mientras que otros estudios han sido centrados en áreas costeras (Andriotis, 2006;Virgen, 2009;Albaladejo y Martínez, 2017), entre otros.…”

Mapping tourism strategy patterns on tourism area life cycle

“…For example, Mckercher and Wong (2021) discovered multiple development cycles by analysing the growth of over 120 destinations. Other scholars have proposed a three-stage TALC model (Hell and Petrić, 2021), a scalable/fad life cycle (Moss et al , 2008) and a concept renewal cycle (Klein-Hewett, 2021). In addition, the stagnation and decline stages have received much attention in TALC literature (Liu et al , 2016; Xu et al , 2022).…”