The Labour Market and Post-war Crime Trends in England and Wales

Hale, Chris

doi:10.1007/978-1-349-14708-3_3

Cited by 8 publications

(9 citation statements)

References 13 publications

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“…For the many scholars who deplore this state of affairs, the key factors here are what Reiner identifies as the 'harms' of neoliberalism; economic harms which lead to a greater concentration of wealth in the hands of the few, and greater poverty and un-or under-employment for many (Hale 1998(Hale , 1999, generating both greater inequality and greater insecurity in the wake of attenuated welfare safety nets and uncontrolled fluctuations in the deregulated economy; social and political harms in terms of health, social conflict and violence (Hillyard et al 2004); ethical harms in terms of increased materialism, egoism and irresponsibility towards others (Reiner 2007: 3-8).…”

Section: What Is Neoliberalism and How Did It Emerge?mentioning

confidence: 99%

Punishment, (Neo)Liberalism and Social Democracy

Lacey¹

2013

The SAGE Handbook of Punishment and Society

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In this lecture, I address recent attempts to understand the relevance of political forces and institutions in shaping the practice and the social meaning of punishment. I focus on one argument about the relevance of the political which has been especially influential during the last decade. This is the 'neoliberal penality thesis': the argument that politics can usefully be characterised as broadly neoliberal, or as social democratic: and that the decline or attenuation of social democracy, and the concomitant rise of neoliberalism have been associated with an intensification of penality. I sketch what I take to be the key arguments for that thesis, before presenting a critique of both its method and its substantive conclusions. Though exponents of the neoliberal penality thesis often present it as an ambitious, general theory, I argue that it fails the key test to be applied to any such account: viz, does it have the capacity to shed explanatory light on the relationship between punishment and society? The shortcomings of the neoliberal penality thesis at an explanatory level derive, I argue, from a failure to explicate just which political, economic and social institutions constitute neoliberalism; how, systematically, they relate to one another; and precisely how they are implicated in producing neoliberal penality. These problems may best be illuminated by asking not only what neoliberalism 'is' but also analytic, historical and comparative questions about how it has emerged and what sorts of institutional structures are needed to sustain the policies, practices and arrangements which have come to be associated with neoliberalism; when they emerged; and where they hold sway. In conclusion, and in consequence, I make the case for a more differentiated and specifically institutional account of the defining features of political systems integrated within a broad comparative political economy of punishment.

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Section: What Is Neoliberalism and How Did It Emerge?mentioning

confidence: 99%

Punishment, (Neo)Liberalism and Social Democracy

Lacey¹

2013

The SAGE Handbook of Punishment and Society

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“…Both Hale (1998Hale ( , 1999 and Osborn (1995) have used unemployment and consumption in attempts to explain property crime in England and Wales and we follow that modelling strategy here. Unemployment is often regarded as an indicator of social distress which might drive some individuals to commit crime, whereas consumption could be interpreted as a lure for potential criminals.…”

Section: The Model and Data Sourcesmentioning

confidence: 99%

“…If sustained, this ®nding implies an ever-increasing level of criminal activity, even in a static economic and enforcement environment. Others (Hale, 1998(Hale, , 1999Osborn, 1995) have argued convincingly for the choice of d 1, partly for technical reasons related to the degree of augmentation used in the unit root tests, but also on the more fundamental grounds that it is unreasonable to accept the notion of unbounded growth of crime in a stationary long run.…”

Section: Data and Unit Root Testsmentioning

confidence: 99%

“…If 8 is negative but less than 1 in magnitude, then the model incorporates a mechanism for correcting short-run deviations from the long-run equilibrium path. Models of this type have been estimated by Pyle and Deadman (1994), Osborn (1995), Scorcu and Cellini (1998) and Hale (1998Hale ( , 1999 to examine the relationship between recorded crime and the state of the economy.…”

Section: An Error Correction Model Of Burglarymentioning

confidence: 99%

“…The empirical literature on the eects of these variables on crime rates is vast and has been surveyed elsewhere (Cameron, 1988;Ehrlich, 1996). We are concerned here with time series rather than cross-section modelling, and we build on the recent work of Field (1990), Hale (1998Hale ( , 1999, Osborn (1995) and Pyle and Deadman (1994) in particular.…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

See 2 more Smart Citations

The Relationship between Crime, Punishment and Economic Conditions: Is Reliable Inference Possible When Crimes are Under-Recorded?

Pudney

Deadman

Pyle

2000

Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series A: Statistics in Society

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We investigate the estimation of dynamic models of criminal activity, when there is signi®cant under-recording of crime. We give a theoretical analysis and use simulation techniques to investigate the resulting biases in conventional regression estimates. We ®nd the biases to be of little practical signi®cance. We develop and apply a new simulated maximum likelihood procedure that estimates simultaneously the measurement error and crime processes, using extraneous survey data. This also con®rms that measurement error biases are small. Our estimation results for data from England and Wales imply a signi®cant response of crime to both the economic and the enforcement environment.

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Cycles in Crime and Economy: Leading, Lagging and Coincident Behaviors

Detotto

Otranto

2011

J Quant Criminol

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In the last decades, the interest in the relationship between crime and business cycle has widely increased. It is a diffused opinion that a causal relationship goes from economic variables to criminal activities, but this causal effect is observed only for some typology of crimes, such as property crimes. In this work we examine the possibility of the existence of some common factors (interpreted as cyclical components) driving the dynamics of Gross Domestic Product and a large set of criminal types by using the nonparametric version of the dynamic factor model. A first aim of this exercise is to detect some comovements between the business cycle and the cyclical component of some typologies of crime, which could evidence some relationships between these variables; a second purpose is to select which crime types are related to the business cycle and if they are leading, coincident or lagging. Italy is the case study for the time span 1991:1–2004:12; the crime typologies are constituted by the 22 official categories classified by the Italian National Statistical Institute. The study finds that most of the crime types show a counter-cyclical behavior with respect to the overall economic performance, and only a few of them have an evident relationship with the business cycle. Furthermore, some crime offenses, such as bankruptcy, embezzlement and fraudulent insolvency, seem to anticipate the business cycle, in line with recent global events

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The Labour Market and Post-war Crime Trends in England and Wales

Cited by 8 publications

References 13 publications

Punishment, (Neo)Liberalism and Social Democracy

Punishment, (Neo)Liberalism and Social Democracy

The Relationship between Crime, Punishment and Economic Conditions: Is Reliable Inference Possible When Crimes are Under-Recorded?

Cycles in Crime and Economy: Leading, Lagging and Coincident Behaviors

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