The known knowns and known unknowns of peacekeeping data

Clayton, Govinda; Kathman, Jacob D.; Beardsley, Kyle; Gizelis, Theodora‐Ismene; Olsson, Louise; Bove, V. Michael; Zwetsloot, Remco; Lijn, J. van der; Smit, Timothy; Hultman, Lisa; Dorussen, Han; Ruggeri, Andrea; Diehl, Paul F.; Bosco, Laura; Goodness, C.

doi:10.1080/13533312.2016.1226768

Cited by 69 publications

(19 citation statements)

References 78 publications

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“…Therefore, we apply 11 indicators measuring security within mission hosting countries in order to map the wider security environment in which missions are deployed and assess their possible effects on this environment. Today, we have a much more complete and comprehensive data basis on which to measure security at country level (Clayton et al 2017).…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Does Peacekeeping Reduce Violence? Assessing Comprehensive Security of Contemporary Peace Operations in Africa

Brosig¹,

Sempijja²

2018

Stability: International Journal of Security and Development

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Quantitative research evaluating the effect of peacekeeping operations usually links conflict abatement to the number of casualties in order to measure mission success. Such an approach is incomplete as security concerns extend far beyond the number of conflict related deaths. This narrow understanding of mission success leaves a significant assessment gap. Therefore this study is the first which presents comprehensive data using a wider understanding of violence and peace. We apply 11 indicators measuring security comprehensively. These range from the number of battle death, to violence against civilians, domestic unrest as well as domestic governance and political stability. In contrast to the mainstream quantitative literature our analysis shows that conflict often persists even with the deployment of peacekeepers. The absence of war (decline of battle death) does not automatically equate for non-violence and peace. In order to explain variation between cases we are also exploring the significance of different peacekeeping types, the size of developmental aid, rents from natural resources and the role of governance on conflict.

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Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Does Peacekeeping Reduce Violence? Assessing Comprehensive Security of Contemporary Peace Operations in Africa

Brosig¹,

Sempijja²

2018

Stability: International Journal of Security and Development

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“…Similarly, per-year battle deaths are correlated within a single war (Beard, 2018). Consistent event-based disaggregation is thus increasingly preferred in political and peace data (Gleditsch et al, 2014;Clayton et al, 2017). A natural future research direction then would be to develop a more disaggregated data set using better-resolved events-battles, perhaps-and to perform a change point analysis there.…”

Section: Battle Deaths Data Setsmentioning

confidence: 99%

“…As pointed out in Section 2, data aggregation has often been debated in the historical literature 1 9 1 2 1 9 3 6 1 9 4 6 1 9 9 4 (Cirillo and Taleb, 2016b;Gleditsch et al, 2014;Clayton et al, 2017). Binning data into time periods affects the size of the tail, which is potentially important in our context as the methods that we use are sensitive to changes in the tail of the distribution (Haynes et al (2017b), section 3.1).…”

Section: Aggregation Effectsmentioning

confidence: 99%

Change Point Analysis of Historical Battle Deaths

Fagan

Knight

MacKay

et al. 2020

Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series A: Statistics in Society

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It has been claimed and disputed that World War II has been followed by a 'long peace': an unprecedented decline of war. We conduct a full change point analysis of welldocumented, publicly available battle deaths data sets, using new techniques that enable the robust detection of changes in the statistical properties of such heavy-tailed data. We first test and calibrate these techniques. We then demonstrate the existence of changes, independent of data presentation, in the early to mid-19th century, as the Congress of Vienna system moved towards its collapse, in the early to mid-20th century, bracketing the World Wars, and in the late 20th century, as the world reconfigured around the end of the Cold War. Our analysis provides a methodology for future investigations and an empirical basis for political and historical discussions.

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“…In contrast, the Rwanda genocide was as much a failure of UN political involvement as peacekeeping. However, whereas comprehensive data on UN peacekeeping are increasingly available (Clayton et al 2016), information on other UN conflict resolution instruments remains limited.…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%