“…This enables us to directly infer how inflows of newly unemployed and exit probabilities for currently unemployed type H and L individuals who share the same observed characteristics vary over time. This paper is the first to consider the dynamic behavior of unobserved heterogeneity within groups of in-2 See for example Heckman and Singer (1984a,b), Katz and Meyer (1990a,b), Acemoglu (1995), van den Berg and van Ours (1996), Ljungqvist and Sargent (1998), van den Berg and van der Klaauw (2001) Abbring, van den Berg and van Ours (2002), Kroft, Lange and Notowidigso (2013), Mueller (2010, 2012), Eriksson and Rooth (2014) and Faberman and Kudlyak (2014).…”