The influencing factors and spillover effects of interprovincial agricultural carbon emissions in China

Abstract

Agricultural carbon emissions have become the constraints of agricultural low-carbon and circular economy development in China. China’s agricultural production faces severe pressures and challenges in agricultural carbon reduction. In this paper, we take observation for the 31 provinces in china from 1997 to 2017, to explore the influencing factors and spatial spillover effects of agricultural by estimating spatial panel data models. The results show that China’s agricultural carbon emissions will continue to increase in the future, because the growth of per capita gross domestic product (GDP) is the main driving force to accelerate the growth of agricultural carbon emissions, but the agricultural input factors will help to reduce the growth of carbon emissions. Moreover, it is proved that economic factors and agricultural input factors have direct effects and spatial spillover effects on agricultural carbon emissions except for agricultural environmental factors. In the short term, strengthening environmental protection may bring some pressure to the economic development of some places, but to achieve high-quality development, we must fundamentally solve the problem of environmental pollution. The conclusion provides important enlightenment and scientific basis for formulating effective policies to curb the growth of CO 2 emissions in China.

The Spatial and Temporal Evolution of the Coordination Degree in Regard to Farmland Transfer and Cultivated Land Green Utilization Efficiency in China

“…Spatial autocorrelation analyses were conducted to establish if the chosen specimens have spatial autocorrelation [ 54 ]. In this section, Global Moran’s I was used to study the space association of the regional coordination degree in regard to farmland transfer and CLGUE.…”

Impact of factor quality improvement on agricultural carbon emissions: Evidence from China’s high-standard farmland

“…On the one hand, under certain output conditions, the factor quality improvement will lead to the continuous reduction of the number of factors invested in the agricultural sector. When the number of factor inputs is reduced, the carbon emissions of the agricultural sector will also be reduced (Tian et al, 2016;Chen et al, 2020). On the other hand, with the improvement of agricultural land quality, the government's investment in the agricultural sector will continue to increase, thereby improving the factor efficiency.…”

The Carbon Emission Characteristics and Reduction Potential in Developing Areas: Case Study from Anhui Province, China

“…Agriculture, as the primary industry, is the second largest source and driver of carbon emissions in the world, and its carbon emissions in agronomy and animal husbandry cannot be ignored [ 16 , 25 , 26 , 27 , 28 , 29 , 31 , 32 , 33 , 34 , 35 , 36 , 37 , 38 , 39 , 40 , 41 , 42 ]. In calculating the level of agricultural carbon emissions in Indonesia, scholars had proved that there were an inverted “U”-shaped assumption of the environmental Kuznets curve, carrying out rice cultivation and increasing the ratio of renewable energy use could reduce the impact of carbon emission [ 32 ].When Leitão and Balogh (2020) measured the relationship between Portuguese agriculture and energy consumption, they found that energy consumption played a role in promoting agricultural carbon emissions [ 33 ].…”

“…The overall difference of China’s agricultural carbon emission showed a “U”-shaped correlation with economic development, and the carbon emission of each province showed a downward trend. However, the downward trend was different in the differentiated provincial regions, showing a strong spatial agglomeration distribution pattern [ 34 , 35 , 36 ]. At the same time, China’s agricultural carbon emissions will continue to increase in the future.…”

“…Increasing agricultural input will help reduce carbon emissions. This requires the Chinese government to formulate effective agricultural development policies to ensure the high-quality agricultural development [ 36 ]. In practice, environmental changes caused by carbon emissions are not conducive to the development of agriculture [ 37 ], whereas environmental pollution caused by agricultural carbon emissions is even the main cause of health problems in relatively poor areas in China [ 38 ], which requires us to take effective measures to reduce agricultural carbon emissions.…”