The influence of variations in actual evapotranspiration on drought in China's Southeast River basin

Abstract

Revealing changes in actual evapotranspiration is essential to understanding regional extreme hydrological events (e.g., droughts). This study utilized the Global Land Evaporation Amsterdam Model (GLEAM) to analyse the spatial and temporal characteristics of actual evapotranspiration over 40 years in the Southeast River basin of China. The relationship between changes in actual evapotranspiration and the drought index was quantified. The results indicated a significant increase in actual evapotranspiration in the Southeast River basin from 1981 to 2020 (2.51 mm/year, p < 0.01). The actual evapotranspiration components were dominated by vegetation transpiration (73.45%) and canopy interception (18.26%). The actual evapotranspiration was closely related to the normalised difference vegetation index (r = 0.78, p < 0.01), and vegetation changes could explain 10.66% of the increase of actual evapotranspiration in the Southeast River basin since 2000. Meanwhile, actual evapotranspiration and standardised precipitation evapotranspiration index (SPEI) showed a highly significant negative spatial correlation, with a Moran's I index of − 0.513. The rise in actual evapotranspiration is an important trigger factor for seasonal droughts in the region. Therefore, these results help deepen the understanding of hydro-climatic process changes in the southeastern coastal region of China.