“…Despite claims that driven grouse shoots were abandoned in Wales in the 1970s (Tapper, 2004), they continued at least until 2001 in a part of north Wales (Offord, 2002) such that in 1998 about 27% of Welsh harriers bred on managed grouse moors (Sim et al, 2001), declining to about 13% in 2004 (Sim et al, 2007), reflecting the decline of Welsh grouse shooting (Offord, 2002) and the recent expansion of the Welsh harrier population. Food availability can also influence harrier breeding performance (Simmons et al, 1986;Salamolard et al, 2000;Redpath, Thirgood & Leckie, 2001;Redpath et al, 2002a;Amar, Redpath & Thirgood, 2003). Without data on potential food abundance, however, we could not examine this potential factor directly, but as clutch size is considered to be an indication of food availability during egg laying (Simmons et al, 1986;Salamolard et al, 2000;Redpath et al, 2001Redpath et al, , 2002aAmar et al, 2003), we could indirectly assess whether there were long-term changes in food abundance by looking at long-term changes in clutch size.…”