“…Several recent papers have focused on pyroclastic flow emplacement by more sophisticated modeling; e.g., thermodynamics modeling of cooling effects and air entrainment effects (e.g., Bursik and Woods, 1996;Fauria et al, 2016), two layer systems (Burgisser and Bergantz, 2002;Doyle et al, 2007;Kelfoun, 2017;Valentine, 2020), the development of dense and dilute regimes within the same flow (Esposti Ongaro et al, 2011Kelfoun and Gueugneau, 2022;Neri et al, 2022), the effects of pore pressure on basal friction (Roche et al, 2021;Aravena et al, 2021), and the buildup of coherent turbulent structures and gravity waves (Lube et al, 2020;Brosch et al, 2021). However, since more advanced models require more detailed data to fit additional input parameters, simplified models are suitable for probabilistic modeling in uncertain frameworks, like the present Aso-4 case study, especially for capturing extreme probabilities.…”