The influence of climate variability on internal migration flows in South Africa

Mastrorillo, Marina; Licker, Rachel; Bohra-Mishra, Pratikshya; Fagiolo, Giorgio; Estes, Lyndon; Oppenheimer, Michael

doi:10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2016.04.014

Cited by 128 publications

(104 citation statements)

References 48 publications

(53 reference statements)

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“…Considering South Africa, [93] investigates climate variability and internal migration using two waves of census, covering the years 1997-2001 and 2007-2011, respectively. Adopting a gravity-like approach, they find that positive temperature shocks, as well as positive and negative excess rainfall at the origin, increase migration.…”

Section: Micro-studies At the Individual And Household Levelmentioning

confidence: 99%

Climate Change, Agriculture and Migration: A Survey

2018

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This paper proposes a selective review of the classical economics-based literature on climate change and migration, focusing on the extent to which agriculture might be considered a key mediating channel linking climate change to migration. Overall, climate change is expected to have large and negative effects on the global economy. These effects are even more evident whenever the economic sector considered is the agricultural one, particularly in developing countries. Hence, migration can be viewed as a specific form of adaptation implemented by individuals and households, enabling them to cope, among other things, with weather-induced risk. We show that the importance of agriculture emerges from both plenty of micro-level country studies and relatively few macro-level analyses using cross-sectional data over longer time periods. Thus, policy actions targeted to sustainable agriculture and rural development can both help tackle the challenges posed by climate change and create opportunities in the face of growing migration issues. However, we also stress that much of the current evidence is based on statistical associations that have nothing to do with causal inferences. This calls for the use of a more structural approach and more sophisticated research designs, enabling the researchers to better discriminate among different mechanisms concurrently at work. In addition, further research should be addressed to the role played by food security, a complex dimension largely missing in the current debates on climate change and migration.

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Section: Micro-studies At the Individual And Household Levelmentioning

confidence: 99%

Climate Change, Agriculture and Migration: A Survey

2018

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“…Given that climate effects on migration dynamics operate largely through impacts on the agricultural sector (Feng and Oppenheimer ; Mastrorillo et al. ; Mueller, Gray, and Kosec ; Nawrotzki, Hunter et al. ), we include a number of control variables aimed at capturing farming activities in each municipality.…”

Section: Previous Research and Scholarshipmentioning

confidence: 99%

Climate Migration at the Height and End of the Great Mexican Emigration Era

Riosmena¹,

Nawrotzki²,

Hunter³

2018

Population & Development Rev

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Previous research has linked increasing climate-change-related variability to Mexico-US migration, but only under particular climatic/social conditions and periods of high irregular migration. Using the 2000 and 2010 Mexican censuses, we examine this environment-migration nexus across a broader set of socioecological contexts and during periods of both increasing (1995–1999) and declining (2005–2009) migration. Consistent with the notion that climate can “trap” populations in place, we find that frequent/severe bouts of hot or dry conditions are associated with lower US-bound migration from most of rural Mexico. However, we do find higher climate outmigration during episodes hot and dry climate, or out of places with lower vulnerability. Our comparisons across periods suggest that climate migration is affected by conditions in the U.S. in a similar or slightly weaker manner as other forms of migration are. Altogether, our findings suggest that rural Mexico is unlikely to push large numbers of international “climate refugees” and that climate migration is indeed sensitive to conditions in sending and destination areas.

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“…Furthermore, Oberai et al (1989), Lucas (2016) and Gimba & Kumshe (2012) identified that educational factors lead to internal migration. Additionally, Mastrorillo et al (2016) made a regression analysis for the migration problem in South Africa. As a result of this analysis, it was concluded that climatic factor influences internal migration.…”

Section: Resultsmentioning

confidence: 99%

An Analysis of the Reasons of Internal Migration in Turkey with Logit Method

Yüksel¹,

Eroğlu²,

Özsarı³

2016

BMH

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Internal migration refers to the situation in which people prefer to live in another city of the country because of the problems such as social, cultural and economic in the city they live. It was accepted that internal migration leads to some problems as imbalances in population distribution, irregular urbanization and unemployment in urban area. Owing to this situation, many countries try to take action so as to prevent this problem. Similar to this issue, the aim of this study is to determine influencing factors of internal migration in Turkey. Within this context, annual data of 81 cities for the period between 2008 and 2015 was used in this study. In addition to this aspect, panel logit method was used in order to achieve this objective. According to the results of the analysis, it was identified that high divorce rate is an important factor of internal migration in Turkey. Moreover, it was also determined that there is a positive relationship between this variable and internal migration. In addition to these ISSN 2326-0297 2016 variables, Turkish people prefer to migrate from the cities that have high suicide rate. While taking into the consideration of this issue, it was recommended that Turkey should focus on social problems in the cities to minimize the problem of the migration. Business and Management Horizons

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The influence of climate variability on internal migration flows in South Africa

Cited by 128 publications

References 48 publications

Climate Change, Agriculture and Migration: A Survey

Climate Change, Agriculture and Migration: A Survey

Climate Migration at the Height and End of the Great Mexican Emigration Era

An Analysis of the Reasons of Internal Migration in Turkey with Logit Method

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