The IMPACT2C web-atlas – Conception, organization and aim of a web-based climate service product

Preuschmann, Swantje; Hänsler, Andreas; Kotova, Lola; Dürk, Nikolaus; Eibner, Wolfgang; Waidhofer, Carina; Haselberger, Christoph; Jacob, Daniela

doi:10.1016/j.cliser.2017.03.005

Cited by 16 publications

(10 citation statements)

References 6 publications

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“…The analysis focuses solely on grid boxes that undergo LULCC. The global warming responses (red boxplots) are generally consistent with ensemble‐based studies focused on roughly the same level of global warming but employing coarser resolution Euro‐CORDEX simulations (e.g., Preuschmann et al., 2017). It should first be noted that all three indices exhibit strong decreases under a warming climate.…”

Section: Resultsmentioning

confidence: 99%

Impact of Quasi‐Idealized Future Land Cover Scenarios at High Latitudes in Complex Terrain

2021

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Afforestation is gaining popularity as a climate mitigation policy in many countries, including high latitude regions such as Norway. However, the impacts of afforestation on local‐to‐regional climate is poorly understood. This study uses the Weather Research and Forecasting model to investigate the biogeophysical impacts of different forestry scenarios on the local‐to‐regional climate of Norway. The forestry scenarios considered are the conversion of open spaces to either evergreen forest by active afforestation or to mixed forest by natural succession. Results show both forestry scenarios lead to additional warming of surface temperatures in winter and spring (between 1.0°C and 1.5°C) and cooling in summer (between −1.6°C and −1.3°C). A temperature decomposition analysis shows that the warming in winter and spring is driven by surface albedo changes while summer cooling is driven by changes in sensible heat fluxes for afforestation and surface albedo for natural succession. Maximum 2 m air temperature increases considerably in spring in both forestry scenarios (∼0.8°C to 1.0°C). Analysis of precipitation, multiple climate indices and extremes, reveal little or no response to the different forestry scenarios. The largest societally relevant response to the forestry scenarios is the partial mitigation of the reduction in snow days expected from global warming by 10–20 days. This suggests that implementing current afforestation policies for climate mitigation in Norway may adversely exacerbate some effects of global warming locally while mitigating others. As such, the impacts of afforestation on the local‐to‐regional climate at high latitudes are complex and cannot support or dismiss afforestation as a climate mitigation policy.

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Section: Resultsmentioning

confidence: 99%

Impact of Quasi‐Idealized Future Land Cover Scenarios at High Latitudes in Complex Terrain

2021

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“…One of the directions of further model development would be describing the tendency of urban populations to move away from risky areas within the gradient approach, by combining the existing physical models and the urban diffusion model with the VIABLE modeling framework [45][46][47]. 18) and (19) in particular cases n = 1 and n = 2, respectively.…”

Section: Discussionmentioning

confidence: 99%

“…Coastal cities are particularly endangered due to the high density of urban populations and the vulnerability of critical infrastructures [16]. With tailored climate services informing regional and local decision making on climate adaptation [17][18][19][20], coastal cities in particular need coastal climate services [21,22].…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Cities on the Coast and Patterns of Movement between Population Growth and Diffusion

Kovalevsky

Volchenkov

Scheffran

2021

Entropy

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Sea level rise and high-impact coastal hazards due to on-going and projected climate change dramatically affect many coastal urban areas worldwide, including those with the highest urbanization growth rates. To develop tailored coastal climate services that can inform decision makers on climate adaptation in coastal cities, a better understanding and modeling of multifaceted urban dynamics is important. We develop a coastal urban model family, where the population growth and urbanization rates are modeled in the framework of diffusion over the half-bounded and bounded domains, and apply the maximum entropy principle to the latter case. Population density distributions are derived analytically whenever possible. Steady-state wave solutions balancing the width of inhabited coastal zones, with the skewed distributions maximizing population entropy, might be responsible for the coastward migrations outstripping the demographic development of the hinterland. With appropriate modifications of boundary conditions, the developed family of diffusion models can describe coastal urban dynamics affected by climate change.

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“…The objective is, therefore, to increase the quality of information for climate services, the underlying idea being that reducing uncertainty will increase the use of information [74]. There is strong interest in all sorts of technologies and their capacities to create advances in science as well as building new communication platforms for decision-makers [75]. Some expected outcomes, in terms of CIS products, are an online database for users, downscaled climate scenarios and projections, customizable maps, etc., [76,77].…”

Section: Climate Services As a Technological Innovationmentioning

confidence: 99%

Framing Climate Services: Logics, Actors, and Implications for Policies and Projects

Lugen

2020

Atmosphere

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This paper explores how climate services are framed in the literature and possible implications for climate services’ policies and projects. By critically exploring the frames around climate services, the wider objective is to encourage more reflexive and responsible research in the field, particularly given the huge challenge that climate change represents. By using a framing analysis based on an extensive literature review, five dominant frames were identified. Climate services are mainly framed (1) as a technological innovation, (2) as a market, (3) as an interface between users and producers, (4) as a risk management tool, and (5) from an ethical angle. The predominant frames influence how we think about climate services, shared assumptions, and the way in which policies and projects are designed. To prevent negative effects of climate services on the ground, such as inequalities, the main recommendations include establishing interdisciplinary and transdisciplinary dialogues between different communities of practice and players, increasing empirical and social science research to improve our understanding of this new field, and finally, re-thinking climate services in terms of adaptation rather than as the mere production of new information products.

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The IMPACT2C web-atlas – Conception, organization and aim of a web-based climate service product

Cited by 16 publications

References 6 publications

Impact of Quasi‐Idealized Future Land Cover Scenarios at High Latitudes in Complex Terrain

Impact of Quasi‐Idealized Future Land Cover Scenarios at High Latitudes in Complex Terrain

Cities on the Coast and Patterns of Movement between Population Growth and Diffusion

Framing Climate Services: Logics, Actors, and Implications for Policies and Projects

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