The Impact of Us Tariffs Against China on Us Imports: Evidence for Trade Diversion?

Meinen, Philipp; Schulte, Patrick; Cigna, Simone; Steinhoff, Nils

doi:10.2139/ssrn.3749362

Cited by 5 publications

(6 citation statements)

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“…We use the variation in tariff exposure among industries to identify the trade diversion effects, following the difference-in-differences method as in Cigna et al (2020). The trade diversion that we want to identify is the increase in U.S. imports from Mexico of products that the U.S. imposed tariffs on Chinese exports.…”

Section: Difference-in-differences Methodsmentioning

confidence: 99%

“…Some recent papers study the trade diversion effects of tariffs imposed on Chinese products on the U.S. imports from other countries. Cigna et al (2020) uses the monthly product-level U.S. imports data from its top 30 trade partners during 2016/01-2019/05 and uses difference-in-differences approach as the identification method. The first difference is the time dummy variable indicating trade tensions and the second difference is the product-level treatment dummy indicating whether one product is exposed to tariff increase or not.…”

Section: Literature Review On Trade Diversion and Contributionmentioning

confidence: 99%

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Trade Diversion Effects from Global Tensions—Higher Than We Think

Wang

2023

IMF Working Papers

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Section: Difference-in-differences Methodsmentioning

confidence: 99%

Section: Literature Review On Trade Diversion and Contributionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Trade Diversion Effects from Global Tensions—Higher Than We Think

Wang

2023

IMF Working Papers

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“…On the other hand, however, the trade conflict has created new opportunities for TSMC, as the trade sanctions against China have challenged the import/ export market between the PRC and the US (Cigna et al, 2020;Fajgelbaum, Khandelwal, 2021), resulting in many sectors, including semiconductors, where the US and other advanced industrial economies no longer fully trust the supply of high-tech products and services from the PRC. The coronavirus pandemic has only exacerbated this growing distrust.…”

Section: United Statesmentioning

confidence: 99%

TSMC: A PEST Analysis of Semiconductor Market

Lavdari

2023

JGPS

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With the advent of the pandemic and the outbreak of individuality in inter-state politics, semiconductors, products that have become widely used by high-tech companies, have led to an increase in worldwide demand. But growing nationalism has led nations not to cooperate on the successful joint and equitable growth of these innovative technologies. This research analyses through a PEST analysis the political, economic, social and technological consequence of these choices for the largest semiconductor company, TSMC. The results show how, to date, the international chessboard poses four choices facing TSMC’s future, each based on how nations will approach future collaborative choices.

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“…Since the trade war, the export of goods to Indonesia has decreased. Indonesia, which is affected by the trade war in the export sector, is predicted to be minus 0.24% until the end of 2019 (Cigna et al, 2020). Based on previous research by Henry (2020), the trade war led to various policies that resulted in declining palm oil exports, which became one of the main commodities exports (Henry, 2020).…”

Section: Exportmentioning

confidence: 99%

Indonesia’s macroeconomic conditions during United States-China trade war

Sulistiyowati,

Pratama

2023

jeb

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The trade war between the United States and China can affect the Indonesian economy. It is because the United States and China are Indonesia's main trading partners in International trading. Indonesia's macroeconomic indicators affected by the trade war are exports, imports, interest rates, and inflation. This research examines the trade war's partial and simultaneous effect on Indonesia's macroeconomic conditions, such as exports, imports, interest rates, and inflation. The data used in this study is secondary data from the Central Bureau of Statistics (BPS) and Bank Indonesia (BI) in 2017 – 2020. The data analysis technique used is MANOVA (Multivariate Analysis of Variance). The empirical results showed that trade war simultaneously affects exports, imports, interest rates, and inflation. Meanwhile, the trade war partially affects exports, imports, and interest rates but not inflation. Our research concluded that trade conflicts between Indonesia's two main trading partners, namely the United States and China, affect Indonesia's macroeconomic conditions, especially on exports, imports, interest rates, and inflation. Indonesia must take strategic steps to anticipate the impact of the trade war, especially on export, import, and interest rate policies.

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The Impact of Us Tariffs Against China on Us Imports: Evidence for Trade Diversion?

Cited by 5 publications

References 1 publication

Trade Diversion Effects from Global Tensions—Higher Than We Think

Trade Diversion Effects from Global Tensions—Higher Than We Think

TSMC: A PEST Analysis of Semiconductor Market

Indonesia’s macroeconomic conditions during United States-China trade war

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