2023
DOI: 10.1002/prot.26598
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The impact of AI‐based modeling on the accuracy of protein assembly prediction: Insights from CASP15

Burcu Ozden,
Andriy Kryshtafovych,
Ezgi Karaca

Abstract: In CASP15, 87 predictors submitted around 11 000 models on 41 assembly targets. The community demonstrated exceptional performance in overall fold and interface contact predictions, achieving an impressive success rate of 90% (compared to 31% in CASP14). This remarkable accomplishment is largely due to the incorporation of DeepMind's AF2‐Multimer approach into custom‐built prediction pipelines. To evaluate the added value of participating methods, we compared the community models to the baseline AF2‐Multimer p… Show more

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Cited by 18 publications
(17 citation statements)
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“…The analysis was conducted in close collaboration with our colleagues at Critical Assessment of PRedicted Interactions (CAPRI 5 ). Two assessments were performed, one by CASP 11 and one by CAPRI, 30 providing two views. Here we summarize the main conclusions from the CASP15 assessment.…”
Section: Resultsmentioning
confidence: 99%
See 1 more Smart Citation
“…The analysis was conducted in close collaboration with our colleagues at Critical Assessment of PRedicted Interactions (CAPRI 5 ). Two assessments were performed, one by CASP 11 and one by CAPRI, 30 providing two views. Here we summarize the main conclusions from the CASP15 assessment.…”
Section: Resultsmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…% of CASP14 (blue) and CASP15 (red) protein assembly targets with high quality (>0.8) and low quality (<0.5) computed models as measured by the average contact precision (left) and recall (right) 11 . In CASP15 the fraction of high‐quality models increased from less than 10% to more than 60% by both measures.…”
Section: Resultsmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…Predictors were asked to assess the models from the multimeric category in CASP15. 14 As described above, three distinct types of scores were requested: SCORE, QSCORE and Local for which predictions were returned by 24, 19, and 14 groups, respectively. To enable a fair comparison and avoid cherry picking of favorable targets, only groups that returned a sufficient amount of data points (80%) for at least 80% of the targets were considered for evaluation.…”
Section: Overview Of the Ema Experiments Performed In Casp15mentioning
confidence: 99%
“…Additionally to evaluating selfassessment in tertiary structure modeling, where we see excellent performance of participants, we processed protein complex models which we furthermore split into core, interface, and surface residues and observed differences in quality estimation accuracy according to residue location. CASP15 EMA participants were asked to process all models from the CASP15 multimeric prediction category 14 and to provide estimates of quaternary structure accuracy on a global level, as well as of local interfaces. We related the predictions to common reference values in the field and developed new ones where required.…”
Section: Introductionmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…Recently, at CASP15, the accuracy of AF-M has been demonstrated in modeling the quaternary structure of proteins was demonstrated in comparison to bioinformatics methods used prior to AF software (Ozden et al, 2023). The human T1R2/T1R3 (hT1R2/T1R3) complex generated by AF-M contains an ionic bond between hT1R2 Arg217 and hT1R3 Glu217.…”
Section: Prediction Of the Structure Of The T1r2/t1r3 Complexmentioning
confidence: 99%