Cyanobacteria populate
most water environments, and their ability
to effectively exploit light and nutrients provide them with a competitive
advantage over other life forms. In particular conditions, cyanobacteria
may experience considerable growth and give rise to the so-called
harmful algal blooms (HABs). HABs are often characterized by the production
of cyanotoxins, which cause adverse effects to both aquatic organisms
and humans and even threaten drinking water supplies. The concentration
of cyanotoxins in surface waters results from the budget between production
by cyanobacteria and transformation, including photodegradation under
sunlight exposure. Climate change will likely provide favorable conditions
for HABs, which are expected to increase in frequency over both space
and time. Moreover, climate change could modify the ability of some
surface waters to induce phototransformation reactions. Photochemical
modeling is here carried out for two cyanotoxins of known photoreaction
kinetics (microcystin-LR and cylindrospermopsin), which follow different
phototransformation pathways and for particular freshwater scenarios
(summertime stratification in lakes, water browning, and evaporative
water concentration). On this basis, it is possible to quantitatively
predict that the expected changes in water-column conditions under
a changing climate would enhance photodegradation of those cyanotoxins
that are significantly transformed by reaction with the triplet states
of chromophoric dissolved organic matter (
3
CDOM*). This
is known to be the case for microcystin-LR, for which faster photodegradation
in some environments would at least partially offset enhanced occurrence.
Unfortunately, very few data are currently available for the role
of
3
CDOM* in the degradation of other cyanotoxins, which
is a major knowledge gap in understanding the link between cyanotoxin
photodegradation and changing climate.