The impact of climate change on Caribbean tourism demand

Moore, Winston

doi:10.1080/13683500903576045

Cited by 112 publications

(76 citation statements)

References 18 publications

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“…A direct impact of climate change on tourism will be the global redistribution of climatic resources, which will affect the temporal and spatial distribution of domestic and international tourism flows and economic spending [94]. An increasing number of publications have sought to analyze how travel flows could be altered by climate change [57,60,61,63,64,[95][96][97][98][99][100][101]. The results from these publications are meant to identify potentially vulnerable destinations and assist the tourism industry in planning future operations, including the development of adaptation strategies to minimize associated risks and capitalize on new opportunities posed by changes in the competitive relationships among destinations [98].…”

Section: Discussionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Comparison of Climate Preferences for Domestic and International Beach Holidays: A Case Study of Canadian Travelers

Rutty

Scott

2016

Atmosphere

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Abstract:Coastal tourism is the largest segment of global leisure tourism and it is firmly linked to the destination's natural resources-with climatic resources chief among them. Through observations and survey responses of beach users, studies have evaluated climatic resources for coastal tourism by quantifying optimal and unacceptable conditions. However, these studies have not taken into consideration that different forms of holidays (e.g., daytrips, short trips, main annual holiday, "once-in-a-lifetime" trip) may have varying degrees of resilience to climatic conditions. This is the first study to explore whether ideal and unacceptable climatic conditions vary between domestic and international tourists. Using an in situ survey, Canadian beach users traveling domestically (n = 359) and internationally (n = 120) were examined. Key findings include statistically significant differences (p ď 0.05) between the two sample groups for every climate variable, with the international sample more resilient to a broader range of weather conditions, including a greater acceptance for warm temperatures, longer rainfall durations, higher wind speeds, and greater cloud cover. This study adds further insight into the complexities of evaluating climate for tourism, with implications for the demand response of tourists to climate change.

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Section: Discussionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Comparison of Climate Preferences for Domestic and International Beach Holidays: A Case Study of Canadian Travelers

Rutty

Scott

2016

Atmosphere

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“…Damage to the nutmeg and cocoa industries due to hurricane Ivan in 2004 resulted in loss equivalent to 10% of Grenada's GDP (Mimura et al, 2007). Under future climate change, 46% of Caricom tourist resorts could be lost under a 1 m rise in sea-level (Moore, 2010;Simpson et al, 2010), while projected changes in temperature and rainfall will likely increase crop pests and diseases and the occurrence of extreme water stress (Nelson et al, 2009;Pulwarty et al, 2010;Simpson et al, 2010;Cashman et al, 2010). Past and future climate impacts on other key areas of Caribbean existence, for example, biodiversity and marine and coastal ecosystems (e.g., Fish et al, 2005;Donner et al, 2007;Hoegh-Guldberg et al, 2007;Chen et al, 2008) and on health and well being (e.g., Amarakoon et al, 2006;Chen et al, 2006;Ebi et al, 2006;Taylor et al, 2009) have also been studied and shown to be significant.…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

A review of observed and projected changes in climate for the islands in the Caribbean

Karmalkar¹,

Taylor²,

Campbell³

et al. 2013

Atmósfera

102

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RESUMENLos cambios climáticos observados y proyectados tienen implicaciones socioeconómicas importantes para las islas del Caribe. El objetivo de este artículo es presentar información esencial sobre el cambio climá-tico -basada en estudios previos, observaciones disponibles y simulaciones de modelos climáticos-a escalas espaciales relevantes para las islas caribeñas. Se utilizan datos del modelo general de circulación (GCM) incluidos en el Proyecto de Comparación de Modelos Acoplados fase 3 (CMIP3), así como del modelo climático regional (RCM) del Centro Hadley del Reino Unido, para aportar tanto información actual como información basada en proyecciones sobre precipitaciones y temperatura en estados insulares específicos. Se utilizan observaciones reticuladas de estaciones y datos satelitales para estudiar el clima del siglo XX y evaluar el desempeño de los modelos climáticos. Con un enfoque centrado en la precipitación, también se analizan factores como la temperatura superficial del mar, la presión al nivel del mar y los vientos que influyen en las variaciones estacionales de la precipitación. La media del ensamble del CMIP3 y el RCM captan satisfactoriamente las peculiaridades de la circulación atmosférica de gran escala en la región, pero no así el ciclo estacional bimodal característico de la precipitación. La aridez en épocas de lluvias prevista en escenarios de cambio climático en la región se ha abordado en estudios previos, pero la magnitud de la variación es muy incierta en las simulaciones tanto del GCM como del RCM. La disminución proyectada es mayor al inicio de la temporada de lluvias y suprime la sequía del medio verano en el Caribe occidental. Las simulaciones del RCM muestran avances respecto del GCM, sobre todo por sus mejores representaciones de la extensión territorial, pero su desempeño depende en gran medida de la conducción del GCM. El presente estudio destaca la necesidad de contar con observaciones de alta resolución y comparar simulaciones de modelos climáticos para entender a fondo el cambio climático y su impacto en las pequeñas islas del Caribe. ABSTRACTObserved and projected changes in climate have serious socio-economic implications for the Caribbean islands. This article attempts to present basic climate change information-based on previous studies, available observations and climate model simulations-at spatial scales relevant for islands in the Caribbean. We use the General Circulation Model (GCM) data included in the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project phase 3 (CMIP3) and the UK Hadley Centre regional climate model (RCM) data to provide both present-day and scenario-based future information on precipitation and temperature for individual island states. Gridded station observations and satellite data are used to study 20th century climate and to assess the performance of climate models. With main focus on precipitation, we also discuss factors such as sea surface temperature, sea level pressure and winds that affect seasonal variations in precipitation. The CMIP3 ensemble me...

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“…the tourism sector in many tropical nations is based heavily on the sun, sea, and sand attractions (briguglio, Archer, Jafari, & wall, 1996, p. 206), making climate a key determining factor in the decisionmaking process for tourists (Uyarra et al, 2005). therefore, tourism is highly sensitive to changes to the climate and natural resources (Moore, 2010;Payet, 2008;. Sea level rise and resultant inundation from storm surges threaten coastal tourism infrastructure (belle & bramwell, 2005; Commonwealth of Australia, 2011;richardson & witkowsky, 2010) and communities (buultjens, white, & willacy, 2007).…”

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confidence: 99%

Dive Tourism in Luganville, Vanuatu: Shocks, Stressors, and Vulnerability to Climate Change

Klint¹,

Jiang²,

Law³

et al. 2012

Tourism in Marine Environments

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Luganville is a developing dive tourism destination region (DtDr) in Vanuatu, which relies on tourism. this article reports on the shocks and stressors faced by Luganville's dive tourism sector and climate change's exacerbation of these. the study's methodology was based on rapid rural appraisal and case study principles, involving methods of semistructured interviews, group discussions, and personal observations. Data were analyzed using a thematic analysis approach. key shocks identified include cyclones, earthquakes, effect on demand due to media footage, and changes to international flights. Main stressors were starfish outbreaks and environmental degradation. Unlike the indigenous communities, expatriates show little concern for the potential impact of climate change, presenting response challenges that must incorporate different perspectives to develop effective adaptation options.

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The impact of climate change on Caribbean tourism demand

Cited by 112 publications

References 18 publications

Comparison of Climate Preferences for Domestic and International Beach Holidays: A Case Study of Canadian Travelers

Comparison of Climate Preferences for Domestic and International Beach Holidays: A Case Study of Canadian Travelers

A review of observed and projected changes in climate for the islands in the Caribbean

Dive Tourism in Luganville, Vanuatu: Shocks, Stressors, and Vulnerability to Climate Change

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