The Impact of Climate Change on Select Agricultural Production in a Water Scarce Country

Alleyne, Laron; Jones, Julian

doi:10.1177/24551333211051826

Cited by 3 publications

(3 citation statements)

References 31 publications

(41 reference statements)

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“…Indonesian people are known to be very dependent on agricultural commodities, one of which is rice. The level of public rice consumption nationally in 2019 was 20,685,619 tons [1]. In addition, there are no substitutes that can replace the role of the rice commodity in meeting the primary daily needs of the community.…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

“…Thus, the total potential for rice production in the January-April 2022 Subround reaches 4.75 million tons of GKG, or an increase of 0.09 million tons of GKG (2.00%) compared to the same Subround in 2021 which amounted to 4.66 million tons. Then if you look at the development of rice production in East Java during 2021 according to the [1], there will be a decrease in rice production successively in the May-August 2021 and September-December 2021 Subrounds, which are 0.40 million tons of Milled Dry Rice, respectively. /GKG (10.82%) and 0.22 million tons of GKG (10.44%) compared to the same period in 2020.…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

“…For information, the level of availability of rice fields in East Java has decreased significantly in recent years. From 1.754 million hectares in 2020 to 1.747 million hectares in 2021 [1].…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

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The Dynamic Impact of Rice Production and Harvested Area on Agricultural Product Prices During COVID-19

Qodri¹,

Ismail²,

Ekawaty³

et al. 2023

Proceedings of the International Conference of Economics, Business, and Entrepreneur (ICEBE 2022)

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The Covid-19 pandemic has caused several economic conditions to experience obstacles, especially related to the distribution of rice to the community. Indirectly this can have an impact on the availability of the selling price of rice to the community. The purpose of this article is to analyze the events that occurred by providing the price of rice during the Covid-19 pandemic in East Java Province. The method used is parametric quantitative. The analysis used is Vector Auto Regression using secondary data from the Central Statistics Agency of East Java Province and the Department of Agriculture and Food Security of East Java Province. The findings in this study are that there is a pattern in the same direction between rice production and the selling price of rice during the pandemic. It is developed that production so far is also due to the supply chain sector that must be supported so that distribution patterns are not hampered. The social restrictions issued by the central government are quite a challenge in the distribution of rice commodities which have become the needs of the general public so far. In addition, the harvested area has an inversely proportional impact on the current rice price. It was recorded that during the 2020-2021 period, there was a decrease which had an impact on the increase in the selling price of rice. Government policies need to provide limitations on the availability of harvested area to ensure the continuity of the production process is maintained to provide benefits both from the producer and consumer side.

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Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

See 1 more Smart Citation

The Dynamic Impact of Rice Production and Harvested Area on Agricultural Product Prices During COVID-19

Qodri¹,

Ismail²,

Ekawaty³

et al. 2023

Proceedings of the International Conference of Economics, Business, and Entrepreneur (ICEBE 2022)

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The symmetric and asymmetric effects of climate change on rice productivity in Malaysia

Qing

Akhtar

Saif

et al. 2023

Heliyon

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Asymmetries in climate change and livestock productivity: non-linear evidence from autoregressive distribution lag mode

Khurshid,

Ajab,

Tabash

et al. 2023

Front. Sustain. Food Syst.

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IntroductionThe livestock sector is extremely important to Socioeconomic growth in Pakistan, yet it is also quite vulnerable to weather changes. Climate change reduces livestock production by changing ecosystem services such as water availability, feed quality and quantity, disease outbreaks, animal heat stress, and a decline in livestock variety and breeds. Climate change has a direct impact on ecological and animal health. As a consequence of climate change, animal diseases, and infections are becoming more widespread. With the non-linearities of climate change in the livestock industry in mind, the present study investigated the asymmetric influence of climatic and non-climatic variables on livestock productivity across Pakistan. The empirical analysis was conducted utilizing secondary time series data from 1980 to 2021.MethodThe non-linear autoregressive distributive lag (NARDL) model is used to examine the asymmetric behavior of climatic variability in the livestock sector. We included CO2 emissions, mean temperature (MT), and precipitation (PERC) as climatic variables in the current study, along with additional control factors.Results and discussionOur research discovered that CO2, MT, and PREC had asymmetries in their impacts on livestock. Variations in CO2, MT, and PREC have contradictory effects on livestock productivity in the long and short term. A percent increase in LCO2 leads to a fall in livestock production insignificantly by 1.0062% for Model I and significantly by 5.7613% and 5.3929% for Models II and III, respectively. A percent decrease in LCO2 significantly lowers livestock production by 4.1739% for Model I and improves livestock production by 8.5928% and 6.7901%, respectively, for Model II and Model III. A unit increase in MT significantly improves livestock productivity by 1.5520% and 0.8149% for Models II and III, respectively, while a unit decrease in MT insignificantly improves livestock production by 0.1316% and 0.2122% for Models II and III, respectively. A unit increase and decrease in PREC significantly lowers and insignificantly improve livestock productivity respectively by 0.002% in both cases for Model III. To protect the livestock industry from the negative effects of climate change, this study suggests that livestock producers use new environmentally friendly technologies and ecological agricultural systems.

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The Impact of Climate Change on Select Agricultural Production in a Water Scarce Country

Cited by 3 publications

References 31 publications

The Dynamic Impact of Rice Production and Harvested Area on Agricultural Product Prices During COVID-19

The Dynamic Impact of Rice Production and Harvested Area on Agricultural Product Prices During COVID-19

The symmetric and asymmetric effects of climate change on rice productivity in Malaysia

Asymmetries in climate change and livestock productivity: non-linear evidence from autoregressive distribution lag mode

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