The impact of climate change and potential distribution of the endangered white winged wood duck (Asarcornis scutulata, 1882) in Indian eastern Himalaya

Deka, Jyotish Ranjan; Hazarika, Animekh; Boruah, Abhijit; Das, Jyoti Prasad; Tanti, Rubul; Hussain, Syed Ainul

doi:10.1016/j.jnc.2022.126279

Cited by 9 publications

(10 citation statements)

References 27 publications

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“…The present study unveiled a significant reduction in suitable habitat for L. cinerascens in future climate scenarios, with a concerning decline ranging from 10 % to 94 % across both time periods in the selected SSPs (SSP126, SSP245, and SSP585).The decline witnessed by the study species corresponds to a parallel trend observed in another endangered species, White-winged Duck ( Asarcornis sculuta ), inhabiting in the same distribution range [ 54 ]. Moreover, the outcomes delve into the fragmentation of habitats, shedding light on the interplay between climate change and habitat fragmentation.…”

Section: Discussionsupporting

confidence: 56%

“…The primary occurrence sources utilized in this scientific study comprised data obtained through field visits and secondary citizen science platforms, including ebird ( n = 477 ) ( https://ebird .org/home), Global Biodiversity Information Facility (GBIF) ( n = 223) ( https://doi .org/10.15468/dl.5e8har), and data retrieved from evaluated scientific literature ( n = 5) [ 54 , 56 , 57 ]. The field survey was conducted between January and December 2022 ( n = 10) at Maguri-Matapung Beel and DSNP.…”

Section: Methodsmentioning

confidence: 99%

“…Moreover, it is evident that the integration of eco-physiological models has been indispensable in SDM projections for numerous vertebrate species, including birds, to better understand range shifts in response to climate change [ [51] , [52] , [53] , [54] ]. Consequently, SDM can be employed to identify potential habitats in both present and future scenarios, with the objective of aiding prioritization and informing species-specific conservation strategies [ 55 ].…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

See 2 more Smart Citations

Unraveling the unknown: Adaptive spatial planning to enhance climate resilience for the endangered Swamp Grass-babbler (Laticilla cinerascens) with habitat connectivity and complexity approach

Abedin,

Mukherjee,

Kang

et al. 2024

Heliyon

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Section: Discussionsupporting

confidence: 56%

Section: Methodsmentioning

confidence: 99%

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

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Unraveling the unknown: Adaptive spatial planning to enhance climate resilience for the endangered Swamp Grass-babbler (Laticilla cinerascens) with habitat connectivity and complexity approach

Abedin,

Mukherjee,

Kang

et al. 2024

Heliyon

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“…Climate change is expected to have a major impact on tropical forests worldwide (IPCC, 2014 ), as well as on the IEHR (Deka et al, 2022 ). In order to assess the impact of climate change on tiger habitat, we have incorporated the Cm model into our framework.…”

Section: Methodsmentioning

confidence: 99%

Can Bengal Tiger (Panthera tigris tigris) endure the future climate and land use change scenario in the East Himalayan Region? Perspective from a multiple model framework

Deka,

Ali,

Ahamad

et al. 2023

Ecology and Evolution

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Large mammals are susceptible to land use and climate change, unless they are safeguarded within large, protected areas. It is crucial to comprehend the effects of these changes on mammals to develop a conservation plan. We identified ecological hotspots that can sustain an ecosystem for the endangered Bengal tiger (Panthera tigris tigris), an umbrella species. We developed three distinct ensemble species distribution models (SDMs) for the Bengal tiger in the Indian East Himalayan Region (IEHR). The first model served as the baseline and considered habitat type, climate, land cover, and anthropogenic threats. The second model focused on climate, land use, and anthropogenic threats, the third model focused on climate variables. We projected the second and third models onto two future climate scenarios: RCP 4.5 and RCP 8.5. We evaluated the threats possess to protected areas within eco‐sensitive zone based on the potential tiger habitat. Finally, we compared the potential habitat with the IUCN tiger range. Our study revealed that the Brahmaputra valley will serve as the primary habitat for tigers in the future. However, considering the projected severe climate scenarios, it is anticipated that tigers will undergo a range shift towards the north and east, especially in high‐altitude regions. Very high conservation priority areas, which make up 3.4% of the total area, are predominantly located in the riverine corridor of Assam. High conservation priority areas, which make up 5.5% of total area are located in Assam and Arunachal Pradesh. It is important to note that conservation priority areas outside of protected areas pose a greater threat to tigers. We recommend reassessing the IUCN Red List's assigned range map for tigers in the IEHR, as it is over‐predicted. Our study has led us to conclude both land use and climate change possess threats to the future habitat of tigers. The outcomes of our study will provide crucial information on identifying habitat hotspots and facilitate appropriate conservation planning efforts.

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“…Species distribution models (SDMs) are important tools for assessing the likelihood of species occurrence within specific geographic areas, providing essential information for habitat management and conservation initiatives [ 33 , 34 , 35 , 36 ]. In recent years, the integration of ecophysiological models has been crucial in SDM projections for various vertebrate species, aiding in understanding range shifts in response to climate change [ 37 , 38 , 39 , 40 ]. Therefore, adaptive management strategies that consider uncertain future scenarios are vital for ensuring the resilience of C. hispidus to climate change across its distribution range.…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Distribution Model Reveals Rapid Decline in Habitat Extent for Endangered Hispid Hare: Implications for Wildlife Management and Conservation Planning in Future Climate Change Scenarios

Abedin,

Mukherjee,

Kim

et al. 2024

Biology

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The hispid hare, Caprolagus hispidus, belonging to the family Leporidae is a small grassland mammal found in the southern foothills of the Himalayas, in India, Nepal, and Bhutan. Despite having an endangered status according to the IUCN Red List, it lacks studies on its distribution and is threatened by habitat loss and land cover changes. Thus, the present study attempted to assess the habitat suitability using the species distribution model approach for the first time and projected its future in response to climate change, habitat, and urbanization factors. The results revealed that out of the total geographical extent of 188,316 km2, only 11,374 km2 (6.03%) were identified as suitable habitat for this species. The results also revealed that habitat significantly declined across its range (>60%) under certain climate change scenarios. Moreover, in the present climate scenario protected areas such as Shuklaphanta National Park (0.837) in Nepal exhibited the highest mean extent of habitat whereas, in India, Dibru-Saikhowa National Park (0.631) is found to be the most suitable habitat. Notably, two protected areas in Uttarakhand, India, specifically Corbett National Park (0.530) and Sonanandi Wildlife Sanctuary (0.423), have also demonstrated suitable habitats for C. hispidus. Given that protected areas showing a future rise in habitat suitability might also be regarded as potential sites for species translocation, this study underscores the importance of implementing proactive conservation strategies to mitigate the adverse impacts of climate change on this species. It is essential to prioritize habitat restoration, focused protection measures, and further species-level ecological exploration to address these challenges effectively. Furthermore, fostering transboundary collaboration and coordinated conservation actions between nations is crucial to safeguarding the long-term survival of the species throughout its distribution range.

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The impact of climate change and potential distribution of the endangered white winged wood duck (Asarcornis scutulata, 1882) in Indian eastern Himalaya

Cited by 9 publications

References 27 publications

Unraveling the unknown: Adaptive spatial planning to enhance climate resilience for the endangered Swamp Grass-babbler (Laticilla cinerascens) with habitat connectivity and complexity approach

Unraveling the unknown: Adaptive spatial planning to enhance climate resilience for the endangered Swamp Grass-babbler (Laticilla cinerascens) with habitat connectivity and complexity approach

Can Bengal Tiger (Panthera tigris tigris) endure the future climate and land use change scenario in the East Himalayan Region? Perspective from a multiple model framework

Distribution Model Reveals Rapid Decline in Habitat Extent for Endangered Hispid Hare: Implications for Wildlife Management and Conservation Planning in Future Climate Change Scenarios

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