The <i>blank</i> ballot crisis: a multi-method study of fraud in the 2006 Italian election

Lioy, Alberto

doi:10.1080/23248823.2021.1955190

Cited by 1 publication

(2 citation statements)

References 28 publications

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“…Knowing that this index grows when a country becomes more authoritarian and falls when it democratizes, note that fewer than half of observations are “0” (stability), as democracy in Latin America changes quite frequently. Also notice how dramatic changes in the number of invalid ballots have already occurred in highly democratic contexts (Lioy 2021b).…”

Section: Research Methodology and Variable Operationalizationmentioning

confidence: 99%

“…To this effect, this study explores blank and spoiled ballots cumulatively, because there is much confusion in the way that these two behaviors are calculated on an aggregate level in different countries and we lack empirical evidence that leads us to consider them as different. This choice is justified by the ample evidence that these two political behaviors are extremely similar and generally vary together in quantitative studies (Aldashev and Mastrobuoni 2019; Lioy 2021b), and that both are alternatively used with explicit protest intent in Latin America (Cisneros Yescas 2013; Sonnleitner 2019; Palacio Vélez 2022).…”

Section: Literature Review and Latin American Trendsmentioning

confidence: 99%

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“I Would Prefer Not To”: Establishing the Missing Link between Invalid Voting and Public Protest in Latin America

Lioy

2024

Lat Am Polit Soc

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While invalid voting is often treated as protest behavior in an electoral context, its association with actual political protests has not yet been empirically demonstrated. The relative scarcity of research on the topic is likely due to the hybrid nature of invalid voting as a both formal and informal political gesture. The novel availability of event-based data for public protests in Latin America allows for testing whether their occurrence is connected with changes in spoiled and blank ballots. Using an appropriate dynamic regression model covering variations in the 148 intervals between Latin American legislative elections in the 1979–2021 period, this study finds a strong connection between the emergence of antigovernment protests and surges in invalid voting (and vice versa). This relationship still holds at parity of economic conditions and it is reinforced by a lack of alternation in the party of power. Conversely, the appearance of workers’ strikes appears to work as a substitute for this behavior, which is also chosen by voters when democracy deteriorates, while corruption has no independent impact on invalid voting. Overall this work’s findings promise to send the research agenda on invalid voting in a new direction, previously unexplored because of an absence of fitting data.

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Section: Research Methodology and Variable Operationalizationmentioning

confidence: 99%