Nearly every aggregate study of minority legislative representation has observed outcomes of elections (officeholders), rather than the supply of minority candidates. Because of this, scholars have left a large amount of important data, the election losers, out of their models of minority representation. The evidence presented in this article demonstrates that voters in the United States cannot choose minority officeholders because there are rarely minority candidates on the ballot. I use state legislative candidate data from Carsey et al. (2008) and Klarner et al. (2012) to test models of Latino representation that correct for first-stage selection bias. Once candidate self-selection is taken into account, the probability of electing a Latino increases enormously. I then use data from 2010 to make out-of-sample predictions, which clearly favor the conditional model. Thus, our current understanding of Latino representation is significantly biased by ignoring the first stage of an election, a candidate's decision to run.T he two questions that motivate most of the minority representation research in the United States are "When and why do minority candidates get elected to office?" Although they are not always given explicit or foremost attention, they remain fundamental to understanding the processes of descriptive and substantive representation, legislative redistricting, co-ethnic voting, and related political phenomena. While scholars appear to have some good answers to the first question, we have fairly muddled answers to the second. This is because it is unclear to what extent the anti-minority prejudice found in some experimental settings and on some surveys hurts minority candidates in actual elections. Perhaps instead, partisanship, incumbency, and other electoral factors mitigate voters' negative "affect." If it turns out that minority candidates often get elected in white districts when they run, then our understanding of minority representation requires revision.Traditionally, minority representation research examines the "population-seats" relationship in order to