2023
DOI: 10.1186/s12889-022-14720-6
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The health consequences of civil wars: evidence from Afghanistan

Abstract: This study examines the effects of long-run civil wars on healthcare, which is an important component of human capital development and their causality nexus in Afghanistan using the MVAR (modified vector autoregressive) approach and the Granger non-causality model covering data period 2002Q3-2020Q4. The primary results support a significant long-run relationship between variables, while the results of the MVAR model indicate the per capita cost of war, per capita GDP, and age dependency ratio have significantl… Show more

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Cited by 6 publications
(5 citation statements)
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“…These variables, whether operating directly or through their association with endogenous factors, have been neglected. Given the recent surges in global inflation, compounded by significant economic uncertainties stemming from global financial crises 80 , pandemics 81 , 82 , civil conflicts 83 , 84 , persistent cost-push and demand-pull inflation trends 85 – 87 , and the dynamic nature of political-economic factors such as wealth oil, labor market fluctuations, and material price volatility, as well as overarching governance interventions at both general and sector-specific levels within our study panel, it is imperative to comprehensively capture their effects on contemporary health outcomes. Thus, we introduce three pivotal exogenous variables, namely, inflationary shocks ( INS ), economic volatility shocks ( EVS ), and an expected countermeasure—a measure of institutional quality index.…”
Section: Methodsmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…These variables, whether operating directly or through their association with endogenous factors, have been neglected. Given the recent surges in global inflation, compounded by significant economic uncertainties stemming from global financial crises 80 , pandemics 81 , 82 , civil conflicts 83 , 84 , persistent cost-push and demand-pull inflation trends 85 – 87 , and the dynamic nature of political-economic factors such as wealth oil, labor market fluctuations, and material price volatility, as well as overarching governance interventions at both general and sector-specific levels within our study panel, it is imperative to comprehensively capture their effects on contemporary health outcomes. Thus, we introduce three pivotal exogenous variables, namely, inflationary shocks ( INS ), economic volatility shocks ( EVS ), and an expected countermeasure—a measure of institutional quality index.…”
Section: Methodsmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…The methodology used for constructing IQI aligns with the approach suggested by Sarma [ 66 ], utilizing six governance measures from the Worldwide Governance Indicators (WGI). This technique, preferred for its empirical robustness and ease of estimation, has been widely adopted by prior literature [ 31 , [67] , [68] , [69] , [70] ]. The resulting IQI is expressed as a number between 0 (low) and 1 (high), with detailed construction information available in Appendix A .…”
Section: Methodsmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…Throughout the intense clashes, over 70% of healthcare centers were intentionally destroyed or robbed. Moreover, healthcare providers themselves may face being victims, displaced, or burned out due to work overload, adding to challenges in providing care for patients [6,7,9,10,11].…”
Section: Introductionmentioning
confidence: 99%