The “Ground-Glass” Mimicker in The Pandemic: A Novel Radiomics-Based Machine Learning Model Differentiates COVID-19 Pneumonia from Acute Non-COVID-19 Lung Disease

Abstract

Ground-Glass Opacities (GGOs) are a non-specific CT finding observed in the early phase of COVID-19 pneumonia. However, GGOs are also seen in other acute interstitial and alveolar lung diseases, thus making the differential diagnosis a diagnostic challenge. In this poof-of-concept study, we aimed to differentiate COVID-19 pneumonia presenting with GGOs from acute non-COVID-19 lung disease using a novel radiomic-based model in patients who underwent a high-resolution CT (HRCT) scan at hospital admission during the first pandemic peak in Italy. HRCT scans of 28 RT-PCR diagnosed COVID-19 pneumonia (COVID) and 30 acute non-COVID-lung disease (nCOVID) were retrospectively included. All patients showed GGOs as the predominant CT pattern. Two readers, blinded to the final diagnosis, independently segmented GGOs on CT scans by using a semi-automated approach, and radiomic features were extracted from segmented images. Partial least square (PLS) regression was used as the multivariate machine-learning algorithm. A leave-one-out nested cross-validation was implemented to optimize the hyperparameter of PLS and to assess the model generalization. The diagnostic performance of the radiomic model to differentiate between COVID and nCOVID lung disease was assessed through receiver operating characteristic (ROC) analysis. The radiomics-based machine learning model differentiated COVID and nCOVID with an AUC = 0.868 (p = 4.2·10− 7). After a careful prospective evaluation in larger multicentric studies, it may help radiologists to rule out COVID-19 pneumonia thus improving the COVID-19 triaging in epidemic areas.