The great divide: understanding the role of media and other drivers of the partisan divide in public concern over climate change in the USA, 2001–2014

Carmichael, Jason T.; Brulle, Robert J.; Huxster, Joanna K.

doi:10.1007/s10584-017-1908-1

Cited by 146 publications

(105 citation statements)

References 33 publications

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“…Weather events were minimally associated with the level of concern about climate change; only extreme drought conditions were related to climate change concern. (United States) Carmichael et al, 2017 [73] An analysis of the factors influencing public concern about climate change (between 2002 and 2013) found that extreme weather did not increase concern about climate change among Aggregate climate change belief and concern was correlated to national mean temperature anomalies over the previous 3-12 months. (United States) Druckman and Shafranek, 2016 [93] Participants who were primed to think about temperatures over a long period of time were less likely to overestimate the percentage of abnormally warm days over the past year.…”

Section: Methodological Approachesmentioning

confidence: 99%

“…Of studies using external measures rather than self-reported experiences, 20 (39%) include measures related to extreme weather events. Several of these studies have used published aggregated indices of weather extremes as predictors of climate opinions, such as the US Climate Extremes Index that combines temperature, precipitation, drought severity, and landfalling tropical storms [28,30,33,73]. These studies do not find a relationship between these aggregated extremes indices and climate opinions.…”

Section: The Effect Of Objective Non-temperature Experiences On Climamentioning

confidence: 99%

“…drought) has a much larger and more homogeneous spatial imprint than heavy precipitation events, temperature anomalies or heat waves; it is also measured very differently. Drought can be measured through the duration of consecutive dry days, but thus far analyses of drought perceptions have relied on readily available indices such as the Palmer Drought Severity Index [28,73,79] or the US Drought Monitor [29,68,72]. Such indices, however, were not originally designed from the perspective of understanding how people experience weather and climate change but rather were designed for use in climatological, agricultural, and similar purposes.…”

Section: Heterogeneous Measurement and Conceptualization Of Independementioning

confidence: 99%

“…Some studies forego theoretical groundings and limit their focus to documenting empirical associations (e.g. [10,66,73]), however, many [16,48,59,61,77,83] contextualize their work using one of two psychological theories: dual-process theory [97], which emerged from the cognitive-experiential self theory [98], and construal level theory (CLT) [99].…”

Section: The Need For Theoretical Context and Integrationmentioning

confidence: 99%

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How will climate change shape climate opinion?

Howe

Marlon

Mildenberger

et al. 2019

Environ. Res. Lett.

176

129

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As climate change intensifies, global publics will experience more unusual weather and extreme weather events. How will individual experiences with these weather trends shape climate change beliefs, attitudes, and behaviors? In this article, we review 73 papers that have studied the relationship between climate change experiences and public opinion. Overall, we find mixed evidence that weather shapes climate opinions. Although there is some support for a weak effect of local temperature and extreme weather events on climate opinion, the heterogeneity of independent variables, dependent variables, study populations, and research designs complicate systematic comparison. To advance research on this critical topic, we suggest that future studies pay careful attention to differences between self-reported and objective weather data, causal identification, and the presence of spatial autocorrelation in weather and climate data. Refining research designs and methods in future studies will help us understand the discrepancies in results, and allow better detection of effects, which have important practical implications for climate communication. As the global population increasingly experiences weather conditions outside the range of historical experience, researchers, communicators, and policymakers need to understand how these experiences shape-and are shaped by-public opinions and behaviors.

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Section: Methodological Approachesmentioning

confidence: 99%

Section: The Effect Of Objective Non-temperature Experiences On Climamentioning

confidence: 99%

Section: Heterogeneous Measurement and Conceptualization Of Independementioning

confidence: 99%

Section: The Need For Theoretical Context and Integrationmentioning

confidence: 99%

See 2 more Smart Citations

How will climate change shape climate opinion?

Howe

Marlon

Mildenberger

et al. 2019

Environ. Res. Lett.

176

129

View full text Add to dashboard Cite

show abstract

“…The denial ideology promoted by these individuals and groups is typically disseminated through partisan media outlets. These media outlets create "echo chambers" where partisan views are reinforced and opposing views are dismissed (Carmichael, Brulle, and Huxster, 2017). Republicans and conservatives increasingly express skepticism about climate change (Dunlap, McCright, and Yarosh, 2016).…”

Section: The Denial Countermovementmentioning

confidence: 99%

Assessing Sociodemographic Predictors of Climate Change Concern, 1994–2016

Driscoll

2019

Social Science Quarterly

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Objective In this research note, I examine whether the growing influence of political orientation on climate change concern has resulted in the declining influence of the sociodemographic variables that have historically predicted such views. Methods Utilizing evidence from the 1994, 2000, 2010, and 2016 General Social Surveys, I conduct ordered logit regressions, Wald significance tests, and partition the pseudo‐R2 across years to ensure consistency of findings. Results A comparison across three decades reveals that while climate change concern was once grounded in sociodemographic predictors such as age, education, income, sex, race, or size of residential area, the explanatory power of those predictors has declined over time. Climate change concern is now better explained by political orientation variables; once modest in influence, only to rise in prominence over time. Conclusion These findings are connected to political polarization and the “denial countermovement” and their impact on the American public. This article is the first to explicitly and systematically track the decline of sociodemographic predictors of climate change concern over time.

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A Partisan and Polarized Issue in the United States

Palm

Bolsen

2020

Coastal Research Library

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The great divide: understanding the role of media and other drivers of the partisan divide in public concern over climate change in the USA, 2001–2014

Cited by 146 publications

References 33 publications

How will climate change shape climate opinion?

How will climate change shape climate opinion?

Assessing Sociodemographic Predictors of Climate Change Concern, 1994–2016

A Partisan and Polarized Issue in the United States

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