The global warming hiatus has faded away: An analysis of 2014–2016 global surface air temperatures

Zhang, Chao; Li, Shuanglin; Luo, Fang; Huang, Zhen

doi:10.1002/joc.6114

Cited by 32 publications

(23 citation statements)

References 101 publications

Supporting

Mentioning

Contrasting

Order By: Relevance

“…Therefore, considering the simulation results of SH and LH discussed above, the model can predict a reasonable energy balance inside and above the canopy. In warming is in good agreement with earlier studies (Zhang et al, 2019, Räisänen, 2019…”

Section: Meteorological Data Analysessupporting

confidence: 93%

The trend of the oxidants in boreal forest over 2007–2018: comprehensive modelling study with long-term measurements at SMEAR II, Finland

Chen

Zhou

Nieminen

et al. 2020

Preprint

View full text Add to dashboard Cite

Abstract. Major atmospheric oxidants (OH, O3 and NO3) dominate the atmospheric oxidation capacity, while H2SO4 is considered as a main driver for new particle formation events. Although numerous studies have investigated the long-term trend of ozone in Europe, the trend of OH, NO3 and H2SO4 at specific sites are to a large extent unknown. In this study, we investigated how the trends in major atmospheric oxidants (OH, O3 and NO3) and H2SO4 changed in southern Finland during the past 12 years and discuss how these trends relate to decreasing emissions of regulated air pollutants in Europe. The one-dimensional model SOSAA has been applied in several studies at the SMEAR II station, and has been validated by measurements in several projects. Here, we ran the SOSAA model for the years 2007–2018 to simulate the atmospheric chemical components, especially the atmospheric oxidants and H2SO4 at SMEAR II. The simulations were evaluated with observations at SMEAR II for several shorter and longer campaigns. Our results show that OH increased by +1.56 (−0.8; +3.17) % yr−1 during daytime and NO3 decreased by −3.92 (−6.49; −1.79) % yr−1 during nighttime, indicating different trends of the oxidants during day and night. Sulphuric acid decreased during daytime by −5.12 (−11.39; −0.52) % yr−1, which correlated with the observed decreasing concentration of newly formed particles in the size range 3–25 nm by 1.4 % yr−1 at SMEAR II during the years 1997–2012 (Nieminen et al., 2014). Additionally we compared our simulated OH, NO3 and H2SO4 concentrations with proxies, which are commonly applied in case limited amount of parameters are measured and no detailed model simulations are available.

show abstract

Section: Meteorological Data Analysessupporting

confidence: 93%

The trend of the oxidants in boreal forest over 2007–2018: comprehensive modelling study with long-term measurements at SMEAR II, Finland

Chen

Zhou

Nieminen

et al. 2020

Preprint

View full text Add to dashboard Cite

show abstract

“…Over the recent couple years, 2014–2018, the global warming has returned, and the hiatus may have faded away (Su et al ., ; Yin et al ., ; Zhang et al ., ). For East China, both annual and winter mean temperature tend to warm up.…”

Section: Conclusion and Discussionmentioning

confidence: 97%

Two dominant factors governing the decadal cooling anomalies in winter in East China during the global hiatus period

Lei

Luo

et al. 2019

Intl Journal of Climatology

Self Cite

View full text Add to dashboard Cite

Observational analyses reveal substantial cooling anomalies in East China, during the global hiatus period (1998–2013), particularly in winter. The factors contributing to the winter cooling anomalies and the underlying mechanisms are studied. The results highlight the substantial roles played by two factors: Arctic sea ice reduction (i.e., sea ice area in Barents‐Kara Seas, SIA) and the sea surface temperature (SST) cooling anomalies in the Kuroshio extension region (KSST). Together, these factors contribute to approximate 90% of the trend anomaly of East China's area averaged surface air temperature (ECT). The individual contributions from SIA and KSST are investigated based on observational diagnostic analyses and sensitivity experiments. The results show that the contributions from the two factors are similar. Both SIA and KSST induce intensified geopotential height over the mid‐to‐high latitudes of the Eurasian continent, with the maximum over the Ural Mountains extending toward Lake Baikal. These anomalies intensify the Ural blocking activities and Mongolian cold high. Meanwhile, both forcings cause negative 500‐hPa geopotential height (Z500) anomalies over the central North Pacific that extends westward to East Asia, intensifying the climatological East Asian grand trough. However, KSST causes positive Z500 anomalies over the Bering Sea, but SIA does not. The enhanced Ural blocking activities and the deepened East Asian grand trough jointly favour the intensification of the East Asian winter monsoon, thus causing cooling anomalies in East China.

show abstract

“…There is a growing consensus that the warming slowdown ended after 2010 3 , 17 – 21 . Recently, Zhang et al 20 claimed that the global warming slowdown dissolved in the early 2010s and explained that the combined contributions of the decadal-to-multidecadal component and the long-term warming trend show greater contributions than the interannual component, implying that the warmer years observed recently may occur more frequently in the near future. They suggested that global warming has entered a new stage based on the positive phase of the Pacific Decadal Oscillation (PDO) and Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation (AMO) and the increasing trend in the North Atlantic Oscillation index.…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Surface warming reacceleration in offshore China and its interdecadal effects on the East Asia–Pacific climate

Tang

Huangfu

Huang

et al. 2020

Sci Rep

View full text Add to dashboard Cite

Since the late 1970s, sea surface temperatures (SSTs) have exhibited greater responses to global warming in the offshore area of China and adjacent seas (offshore China) than in the global ocean. This study identified a surface warming reacceleration in offshore China since 2011, following a well-known interdecadal shift from offshore surface warming to cooling in 1998. During the warming reacceleration period, the rate of increase in offshore China SSTs was twice the mean rate of global ocean surface warming, and the significantly warming area was primarily in the north, especially in the East China Sea. Concurrent with the ascending phase of the Interdecadal Pacific Oscillation, a large area of positive sea level pressure anomalies developed over the tropical Pacific. Accordingly, the surface southerly wind anomalies contributed to the recent surface warming in offshore China, especially in the East China Sea. With greater changes in the warming rate, the spatial mode of the circulation anomalies over East Asia and the western Pacific has shifted westward and has exerted more inshore influence during the recent warming reacceleration period than during the previous periods.

show abstract

The global warming hiatus has faded away: An analysis of 2014–2016 global surface air temperatures

Cited by 32 publications

References 101 publications

The trend of the oxidants in boreal forest over 2007–2018: comprehensive modelling study with long-term measurements at SMEAR II, Finland

The trend of the oxidants in boreal forest over 2007–2018: comprehensive modelling study with long-term measurements at SMEAR II, Finland

Two dominant factors governing the decadal cooling anomalies in winter in East China during the global hiatus period

Surface warming reacceleration in offshore China and its interdecadal effects on the East Asia–Pacific climate

Contact Info

Product

Resources

About