The Gathering Storm: managing adaptation to environmental change in coastal communities and small islands

Lane, Daniel E.; Clarke, Colleen Mercer; Forbes, Donald L.; Watson, Patrick Kent

doi:10.1007/s11625-013-0213-9

Cited by 34 publications

(19 citation statements)

References 14 publications

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“…GIS mapping is used in C-Change coastal community storm impact analysis (Lane et al 2013) to analyze the community assets impacted by storms of different severity. Limited data exist on the impacts of storms to coastal community assets, homes, infrastructure, and businesses, and there are no formal community by community reporting mechanisms for natural storm damage.…”

Section: Sd Simulation and Storm Impacts On Community Assetsmentioning

confidence: 99%

“…This research is part of the International CommunityUniversity Research Alliance (ICURA) C-Change project ''Managing Adaptation to Environmental Change in Coastal Communities: Canada and the Caribbean'' (CChange 2013; Lane et al 2013Lane et al , 2015. C-Change seeks to raise awareness of coastal climate vulnerability and promote improved adaptive capacity and coastal community preparedness in selected communities in Canada and the Caribbean region through the development of community assets.…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

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Adaptation Decision Support: An Application of System Dynamics Modeling in Coastal Communities

Lane

Beigzadeh²,

Moll

2017

Int J Disaster Risk Sci

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This research develops and applies a system dynamics (SD) model for the strategic evaluation of environmental adaptation options for coastal communities. The article defines and estimates asset-based measures for community vulnerability, resilience, and adaptive capacity with respect to the environmental, economic, social, and cultural pillars of the coastal community under threat. The SD model simulates the annual multidimensional dynamic impacts of severe coastal storms and storm surges on the community pillars under alternative adaptation strategies. The calculation of the quantitative measures provides valuable information for decision makers for evaluating the alternative strategies. The adaptation strategies are designed model results illustrated for the specific context of the coastal community of Charlottetown, Prince Edward Island, Canada. The dynamic trend of the measures and model sensitivity analyses for Charlottetown-facing increased frequency of severe storms, storm surges, and sea-level rise-provide impetus for enhanced community strategic planning for the changing coastal environment.

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Section: Sd Simulation and Storm Impacts On Community Assetsmentioning

confidence: 99%

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Adaptation Decision Support: An Application of System Dynamics Modeling in Coastal Communities

Lane

Beigzadeh²,

Moll

2017

Int J Disaster Risk Sci

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“…Nevertheless, the burden for implementation of change too often falls to local governments already constrained by available resources, by conflicting economic pressures, and by limited capacity to implement new instruments for coastal development. Under these circumstances, it is even more important for local communities to define their relevant trade-offs and priorities, for example, between community subpopulations (youth vs the aged), between community assets (coastal infrastructure vs transportation links), and between community social and cultural instruments (community centres vs faith-based educational supports) (Lane et al, 2013). 2.…”

Section: Pollutionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Managing Adaptation to Changing Climate in Coastal Zones

Lane

Clarke

et al. 2015

Coastal Zones

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“…As part of an international project on responding to environmental change in coastal communities (Lane et al, 2013), this study was initiated to address the knowledge gap on coastal hazards. The second author had long-term experience in the community, and consultations with local, territorial, and federal agencies preceded the study.…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Exposure to Coastal Hazards in a Rapidly Expanding Northern Urban Centre, Iqaluit, Nunavut

Hatcher¹,

Forbes²

2015

ARCTIC

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ABSTRACT. The City of Iqaluit, Nunavut, is an expanding urban centre with important infrastructure located in the coastal zone. This study investigates the exposure of this infrastructure to coastal hazards (rising mean sea level, extreme water levels, wave run-up, and sea ice). Using a coastal digital elevation model, we evaluate the inundation and flooding that may result from projected sea level rise. Some public and private infrastructure is already subject to flooding during extreme high water events. Using a near upper-limit scenario of 0.7 m for relative sea level rise from 2010 to 2100, we estimate that critical infrastructure will have a remaining freeboard of 0.3-0.8 m above high spring tide, and some subsistence infrastructure will be inundated. The large tidal range, limited over-water fetch, and wide intertidal flats reduce the risk of wave impacts. When present, the shorefast ice foot provides protection for coastal infrastructure. The ice-free season has expanded by 1.0-1.5 days per year since 1979, increasing the opportunity for storm-wave generation and thus exposure to wave run-up. Overtopping of critical infrastructure and displacement by flooding of subsistence infrastructure are potential issues requiring better projections of relative sea level change and extreme high water levels. These results can inform decisions on adaptation, providing measurable limits for safe development.Key words: Arctic coast; adaptation planning; infrastructure; sea level rise; flooding; sea ice; climate change; coastal management RÉSUMÉ. La ville d'Iqaluit, au Nunavut, est un centre urbain en plein essor doté d'infrastructures importantes sur la zone côtière. Cette étude se penche sur l'exposition de cette infrastructure aux risques côtiers (niveau de la mer montant, niveaux d'eau extrêmes, vagues et glace de mer). À l'aide d'un modèle numérique de l'élévation côtière, nous évaluons les inondations et les submersions susceptibles de découler de la montée projetée du niveau de la mer. Certaines infrastructures publiques et privées sont déjà la cible d'inondations en présence de très hautes eaux. En nous appuyant sur un scénario dont la limite supérieure est de près de 0,7 m pour la hausse relative du niveau de la mer de 2010 à 2100, nous estimons que les infrastructures critiques auront un franc bord de 0,3 à 0,8 m au-dessus de la marée haute de vives-eaux, et une partie des infrastructures de subsistance sera inondée. La grande amplitude de la marée, le fetch limité sur l'eau et les larges battures intertidales réduisent le risque de l'impact des vagues. Lorsqu'elle est présente, la glace de rive offre une protection aux infrastructures côtières. Depuis 1979, la saison sans glace s'est prolongée de 1,0 à 1,5 jour par année, ce qui augmente la possibilité de la formation de vagues de tempête et, par conséquent, l'exposition aux jets de rive. La submersion des infrastructures critiques et le déplacement des infrastructures de subsistance par les inondations constituent des enjeux potentiels qui doivent faire l'obj...

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The Gathering Storm: managing adaptation to environmental change in coastal communities and small islands

Cited by 34 publications

References 14 publications

Adaptation Decision Support: An Application of System Dynamics Modeling in Coastal Communities

Adaptation Decision Support: An Application of System Dynamics Modeling in Coastal Communities

Managing Adaptation to Changing Climate in Coastal Zones

Exposure to Coastal Hazards in a Rapidly Expanding Northern Urban Centre, Iqaluit, Nunavut

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