The future of intelligence: A prediction of the FLynn effect based on past student assessment studies until the year 2100

Rindermann, Heiner; Becker, David

doi:10.1016/j.paid.2023.112110

Cited by 5 publications

(3 citation statements)

References 33 publications

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“…in Ronald Reagan, George W. Bush or Joe Biden). At the country level, we have described such examples of cognitive problems in everyday life for Germany [52]. (2) In view of the current climate in science and society, it can be considered disrespectful to describe cognitive deficits in others.…”

Section: Estimated Cognitive Abilitymentioning

confidence: 99%

RETRACTED ARTICLE: Surprisingly low results from studies on cognitive ability in developing countries: are the results credible?

Rindermann

2024

Discov Educ

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Developing countries achieve surprisingly weak results in international cognitive competence studies. The results are about one to two standard deviations below the average norm-values obtained in Western countries. The results are so low that they are sometimes difficult to believe. For example, in the World Bank collection, Nigeria scored 262 student assessment points (SASQ, about two and a half standard deviations below the norm 500, equivalent in the IQ-scale to 64 points); in the Lim et al. collection, Yemen scored 336 SASQ (equivalent to IQ 75). These results have triggered opposition, factual-scientific criticism, but also ethical debates and political-ideological objections. We crosscheck the values here by comparing different sources of information, statistical analysis, and on-site reports. Results of the different test paradigms seem to be similar for country groups. However, there are sometimes major differences for individual countries. The same is true for comparing different test collections: results of grouped countries are similar, but single countries differ. Using education, GDP per capita and politics to predict test scores shows somewhat higher results for the Global South (5 IQ points), especially for Latin America (rising from 78 to 86 points in an IQ metric). Finally, observational studies of schools and every day life in several countries of the Global South point to problems in the scope and quality of instruction as well as of thinking. To improve outcomes and competences, it is recommended to expand education (e.g., kindergarten, extension of schooling) and better train teachers. Where there are large discrepancies between predictions and test results, the potential seems to be large.

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Section: Estimated Cognitive Abilitymentioning

confidence: 99%

RETRACTED ARTICLE: Surprisingly low results from studies on cognitive ability in developing countries: are the results credible?

Rindermann

2024

Discov Educ

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“…What may well prompt current 'techno-enthusiasm' to become future 'human ignorance' is the fact that, through a process of 'learned helplessness' and the deskilling of the mental sphere (Friedland, 2019;Lindebaum & Ramirez, 2023), that we, as theorists, lose the ability to explain and understand the social world. The fact that intelligence levels in the general population have been decreasing for some time in the general population (Rindermann & Becker, 2023), while the use of technology increases, gives me cause for concern here, especially in the context of management learning (Lindebaum, 2023a(Lindebaum, , 2023b. While I agree with others when they claim that "the need to understand how new ideas .…”

Section: Dirk Lindebaummentioning

confidence: 99%

The Future of Research in an Artificial Intelligence-Driven World

Kulkarni,

Mantere,

Vaara

et al. 2024

Journal of Management Inquiry

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Current and future developments in artificial intelligence (AI) systems have the capacity to revolutionize the research process for better or worse. On the one hand, AI systems can serve as collaborators as they help streamline and conduct our research. On the other hand, such systems can also become our adversaries when they impoverish our ability to learn as theorists, or when they lead us astray through inaccurate, biased, or fake information. No matter which angle is considered, and whether we like it or not, AI systems are here to stay. In this curated discussion, we raise questions about human centrality and agency in the research process, and about the multiple philosophical and practical challenges we are facing now and ones we will face in the future.

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“…In this paper, I will first highlight some possible reasons for grade inflation, focusing on the factors related to instructors. While I acknowledge that other factors can also contribute to grade inflation, like the no-fail policy during the pandemic situation (Sarao, 2022) and the global rising IQ of people, otherwise known as the Flynn effect (Rindermann & Becker, 2023), this paper will concentrate solely on the instructors' side. I suggest that instructors influence grade inflation through the following: (1) compassion, (2) laziness, (3) apathy, and (4) sycophancy.…”

Section: Instructor-driven Causesmentioning

confidence: 99%

Instructor-Driven Causes and Impacts of Grade Inflation in Philippine Higher Education

Giray

2024

IJSR

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Grade inflation in Philippine higher education is a growing concern, with instructors increasingly assigning higher grades to students. This paper investigates instructor-driven causes behind grade inflation and its impacts. Autoethnography was used as a method. The study locale was public state universities and colleges in Taguig City and Muntinlupa City, Philippines; data collection involved immersion, a personal diary, and informal discussions with faculty and students. Thematic analysis, guided by research inquiries, unveiled the factors driving this trend. Results suggest compassionate grading, influenced by a desire to support students facing challenges, fosters inflated success perceptions. Laziness, apathy, and sycophancy also contribute to lax grading, hindering genuine academic growth. Meanwhile, the impacts extend beyond academia, affecting graduates' skill acquisition and potentially dissatisfying employers. Recommendations advocate for enhanced accountability among instructors through rigorous evaluation systems and continuous professional development to safeguard academic standards. Combating grade inflation necessitates collaborative efforts to uphold education quality and integrity, benefiting students, institutions, and society.

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The future of intelligence: A prediction of the FLynn effect based on past student assessment studies until the year 2100

Cited by 5 publications

References 33 publications

RETRACTED ARTICLE: Surprisingly low results from studies on cognitive ability in developing countries: are the results credible?

RETRACTED ARTICLE: Surprisingly low results from studies on cognitive ability in developing countries: are the results credible?

The Future of Research in an Artificial Intelligence-Driven World

Instructor-Driven Causes and Impacts of Grade Inflation in Philippine Higher Education

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