The Formation of the Approaches to Implement the System of Decision Support for Operational Control They Distributed Artificial Intelligence

Forecasting the estimated time of arrival for a cargo dispatch delivered by a freight train along a railway section

“…Very little attention has been paid to solving the task on predicting the execution time of cargo dispatches at the railroad network of Ukraine and similar networks [7][8][9]. Paper [7] used an artificial neural network (ANN) of the perceptron type in order to determine time points of arrival of freight trains at technical stations.…”

“…This affects the accuracy of forecasting, and prevents the application of the constructed model for tactical forecasting tasks. To determine the track of arrival, a mathematical model based on ANN has been applied [8]. A given mathematical model solves the problem on classification in terms of selecting a variant of freight train arrival under an operational mode and does not make it possible to predict the duration of the train arrival under conditions of change in the operational work of a railroad station.…”