The false consensus effect: A trigger of radicalization in locally unwanted land uses conflicts?

Mannarini, Terri; Roccato, Michele; Russo, Silvia

doi:10.1016/j.jenvp.2015.03.001

Cited by 34 publications

(27 citation statements)

References 42 publications

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“…This is a significant finding because it shows that there is a mismatch between supporters' and opponents' perceptions about the social acceptability of a land use, as indicated by their perceptions of social conflict. This result can be understood as reflecting the false consensus effect, where people have a tendency to overestimate how many others share their view (Mannarini et al ). In the context of this study, the false consensus effect affects perceptions of those who support a land use change by making them expect that the vast majority of the citizenry will have a similar perspective, so the land use change will proceed with little controversy.…”

Section: Discussionmentioning

confidence: 99%

The role of conflict framing and social identity in public opinion about land use change: An experimental test in the Australian context

et al. 2020

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Decision makers use public opinion as an indicator of social acceptance for land use changes. However, public opinion is informed by, inter alia, the media, which tends to “frame” issues of public interest in terms of social conflict rather than the substantive details of the issue. Previous research about the influence of conflict on public opinion about politics has yielded contradictory results about the effect of this “conflict framing.” Some studies have shown that conflict framing polarises public opinion, whereas others have found that it moderates public opinion. Similarly, there is no clear understanding of how conflict framing may affect public opinion about the social acceptance of land use changes. This study presents an experimental survey with a quota sample of the Australian population (n = 1,147) where fictional land use change headlines were manipulated to represent three levels of conflict framing (no conflict; conflict; and conflict between identified parties). The results showed that heightened conflict framing led to the strength of support or opposition for land use changes to become weaker. Importantly, these findings show that perceived social conflict can shape public opinion on land use change. As a consequence, public opinion may not represent genuine social acceptance of land use change in cases where conflict is pronounced in the media. This raises the need for attentiveness to disentangling the influence of conflict framing from the substantive issues of land use change.

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Section: Discussionmentioning

confidence: 99%

The role of conflict framing and social identity in public opinion about land use change: An experimental test in the Australian context

et al. 2020

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“…Indeed, it seems likely that the expectation -or prediction -of a strong demand for certified green tourism accommodation is largely based on intuition (particularly within small resource limited enterprises that are unlikely to engage in market research). Such intuitive predictions often show social projection, also termed the false consensus effect in which individuals allow their own preferences to exert undue influence over their predictions of other people (Leviston, Walker & Morwinski, 2013;Mannarini, Roccato & Russo, 2015Ross, Greene, & House 1977. Indeed, many of these respondents stated that they wanted to attract like-minded guests, and may be over-estimating the proportion of the population at large that shares their level of environmental concern (or the extent to which such like-minded individuals are influenced by their value set when making holiday destination choices).…”

Section: External Factorsmentioning

confidence: 99%

Participation and retention in a green tourism certification scheme

Dunk

Gillespie

Macleod

2016

Journal of Sustainable Tourism

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Abstract:Tourism certification schemes offer a transitional procedure to a more transparent and sustainable tourism product. Engaging current and previous Green Tourism Business Scheme (GTBS) members in Scotland, this research addresses issues of retention affecting progression of sustainable tourism supply. Quantitative analysis tracking GTBS members over three time points reveals 2% growth but conceals significant flux in membership. Retention was calculated at 66%, where business type analysis discloses distinct issues among accommodation providers with 42% departing the scheme. Decline is greatest among B&B & guesthouses (-61%), where poor and falling recruitment coincides with very poor retention (33%). Our analysis demonstrates that slow growth in membership is primarily a result of enterprises choosing to leave the scheme, rather than poor recruitment. Questionnaires from past and present GTBS members (n = 109) confirm the importance of personal proenvironmental philosophies and perceived business benefits in attracting members, yet anticipated benefits do not always materialise. The main reasons for leaving the GTBS relate to membership cost and unrealised benefits. Lack of scheme awareness, management, criteria, bureaucracy and time commitment were further departure factors. The paper offers some suggestions to address issues and enhance retention leading to sustainable growth among tourism certification schemes. Participation and retention in a green tourism certification scheme AbstractTourism certification schemes offer a transitional procedure to a more transparent and sustainable tourism product. Engaging current and previous Green Tourism Business Scheme (GTBS) members in Scotland, this research addresses issues of retention affecting progression of sustainable tourism supply. Quantitative analysis tracking GTBS members over three time points reveals 2% growth but conceals significant flux in membership. Retention was calculated at 66%, where business type analysis discloses distinct issues among accommodation providers with 42% departing the scheme. Decline is greatest among B&B & guesthouses (-61%), where poor and falling recruitment coincides with very poor retention (33%). Our analysis demonstrates that slow growth in membership is primarily a result of enterprises choosing to leave the scheme, rather than poor recruitment. Questionnaires from past and present GTBS members (n = 109) confirm the importance of personal pro-environmental philosophies and perceived business benefits in attracting members, yet anticipated benefits do not always materialise. The main reasons for leaving the GTBS relate to membership cost and unrealised benefits. Lack of scheme awareness, management, criteria, bureaucracy and time commitment were further departure factors. The paper offers some suggestions to address issues and enhance retention leading to sustainable growth among tourism certification schemes.

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“…This is a significant finding because it shows that there is a mismatch between supporters' and opponents' perceptions about the social acceptability of a land use, as indicated by their perceptions of social conflict. This result can be understood as reflecting the false consensus effect, where people have a tendency to overestimate how many others share their view (Mannarini et al 2015). In the context of this study, the false consensus effect affects perceptions of those who support a land use change by making them expect that the vast majority of the citizenry will have a similar perspective, so the land use change will proceed with little controversy.…”

Section: Discussionmentioning

confidence: 89%

“…Land use conflicts arise when individuals and groups in society disagree over the right and proper use of a landscape (be it a land-or sea-scape), often preceded by a proposed change (Kaufman and Smith 1999;Anderson et al 2013;Mannarini et al 2015). Land use change becomes land use conflict when the individuals or groups concerned become aware of their disagreement with each other.…”

Section: Land Use Conflictmentioning

confidence: 99%

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The social identity approach to understanding stakeholder conflict in environmental and natural resources management

Colvin¹

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Conflict between stakeholders about environmental and natural resources management (ENRM) issues is a significant challenge for achieving sustainable outcomes for people and the environment.Although conflict can be a constructive and important part of deliberative processes, ENRM routinely experiences dysfunctional conflict, where people involved focus on their perceived incompatibilities rather than finding solutions for the problem. This form of dysfunctional conflict leads to decision-making stagnation and exacerbation of issues which require timely management.The self-perpetuating nature of conflict means that relationships between people and groups become strained, and the potential for cooperation and compromise is undermined. In ENRM, conflict is addressed, often implicitly, through the practice of stakeholder engagement. Although advancements have been made on stakeholder engagement processes through both research and practice, conflict continues to manifest in ENRM issues.This thesis investigates ENRM conflict through analysing the contribution of ENRM stakeholder engagement practice to the prevalence of dysfunctional conflict. In order to understand the hidden complexities and drivers of conflict, the social identity approach has been applied as a theoretical lens. The social identity approach is a theoretical perspective from social psychology which explains how people become members of groups, and how groups interact. As such it is well suited to a study of ENRM conflict, where the heart of the conflict is how groups of people -stakeholders -interact with each other.First, the thesis outlines the theoretical basis for the interest in ENRM conflict, and makes a case for both why stakeholder engagement processes are a critical aspect of conflict which are worthy of investigation, and why the social identity approach is a useful theoretical lens. Following this, a theory building approach to integration of the literature across disciplines is used to present a way of understanding the human dimension of ENRM conflict, and the argument is made for the use of the social identity approach. As a result, a clear distinction is made between 'stakeholders' and 'the citizenry', where stakeholders are formalised groups with a defined interest, and the citizenry is everyone else. An integrative conceptual model for ENRM conflict is created, and is analysed with the application of the social identity approach.Next, the thesis examines the processes taken by ENRM practitioners to identify stakeholders, thereby filling a recognised gap in the literature. This is undertaken with the use of semi-structured interviews with experienced ENRM practitioners, analysed qualitatively. As a result, a typology of approaches to identification of stakeholders is presented, and the previously proposed distinction iii between stakeholders and the citizenry is shown to be reflective of how practitioners categorise people in the context of ENRM issues.The thesis then investigates a case study of a large-scale wind energy d...

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The false consensus effect: A trigger of radicalization in locally unwanted land uses conflicts?

Cited by 34 publications

References 42 publications

The role of conflict framing and social identity in public opinion about land use change: An experimental test in the Australian context

The role of conflict framing and social identity in public opinion about land use change: An experimental test in the Australian context

Participation and retention in a green tourism certification scheme

The social identity approach to understanding stakeholder conflict in environmental and natural resources management

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