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The Standard Model (SM) does not contain by definition any new physics (NP) contributions to any observable but contains four CKM parameters which are not predicted by this model. We point out that if these four parameters are determined in a global fit which includes processes that are infected by NP and therefore by sources outside the SM, the resulting so-called SM contributions to rare decay branching ratios cannot be considered as genuine SM contributions to the latter. On the other hand genuine SM predictions, that are free from the CKM dependence, can be obtained for suitable ratios of the K and B rare decay branching ratios to $$\Delta M_s$$ Δ M s , $$\Delta M_d$$ Δ M d and $$|\varepsilon _K|$$ | ε K | , all calculated within the SM. These three observables contain by now only small hadronic uncertainties and are already well measured so that rather precise SM predictions for the ratios in question can be obtained. In this context the rapid test of NP infection in the $$\Delta F=2$$ Δ F = 2 sector is provided by a $$|V_{cb}|-\gamma $$ | V cb | - γ plot that involves $$\Delta M_s$$ Δ M s , $$\Delta M_d$$ Δ M d , $$|\varepsilon _K|$$ | ε K | , and the mixing induced CP-asymmetry $$S_{\psi K_S}$$ S ψ K S . As with the present hadronic matrix elements this test turns out to be negative, assuming negligible NP infection in the $$\Delta F=2$$ Δ F = 2 sector and setting the values of these four observables to the experimental ones, allows to obtain SM predictions for all K and B rare decay branching ratios that are most accurate to date and as a byproduct to obtain the full CKM matrix on the basis of $$\Delta F=2$$ Δ F = 2 transitions alone. Using this strategy we obtain SM predictions for 26 branching ratios for rare semileptonic and leptonic K and B decays with the $$\mu ^+\mu ^-$$ μ + μ - pair or the $$\nu {\bar{\nu }}$$ ν ν ¯ pair in the final state. Most interesting turn out to be the anomalies in the low $$q^2$$ q 2 bin in $$B^+\rightarrow K^+\mu ^+\mu ^-$$ B + → K + μ + μ - ($$5.1\sigma $$ 5.1 σ ) and $$B_s\rightarrow \phi \mu ^+\mu ^-$$ B s → ϕ μ + μ - ($$4.8\sigma $$ 4.8 σ ).
The Standard Model (SM) does not contain by definition any new physics (NP) contributions to any observable but contains four CKM parameters which are not predicted by this model. We point out that if these four parameters are determined in a global fit which includes processes that are infected by NP and therefore by sources outside the SM, the resulting so-called SM contributions to rare decay branching ratios cannot be considered as genuine SM contributions to the latter. On the other hand genuine SM predictions, that are free from the CKM dependence, can be obtained for suitable ratios of the K and B rare decay branching ratios to $$\Delta M_s$$ Δ M s , $$\Delta M_d$$ Δ M d and $$|\varepsilon _K|$$ | ε K | , all calculated within the SM. These three observables contain by now only small hadronic uncertainties and are already well measured so that rather precise SM predictions for the ratios in question can be obtained. In this context the rapid test of NP infection in the $$\Delta F=2$$ Δ F = 2 sector is provided by a $$|V_{cb}|-\gamma $$ | V cb | - γ plot that involves $$\Delta M_s$$ Δ M s , $$\Delta M_d$$ Δ M d , $$|\varepsilon _K|$$ | ε K | , and the mixing induced CP-asymmetry $$S_{\psi K_S}$$ S ψ K S . As with the present hadronic matrix elements this test turns out to be negative, assuming negligible NP infection in the $$\Delta F=2$$ Δ F = 2 sector and setting the values of these four observables to the experimental ones, allows to obtain SM predictions for all K and B rare decay branching ratios that are most accurate to date and as a byproduct to obtain the full CKM matrix on the basis of $$\Delta F=2$$ Δ F = 2 transitions alone. Using this strategy we obtain SM predictions for 26 branching ratios for rare semileptonic and leptonic K and B decays with the $$\mu ^+\mu ^-$$ μ + μ - pair or the $$\nu {\bar{\nu }}$$ ν ν ¯ pair in the final state. Most interesting turn out to be the anomalies in the low $$q^2$$ q 2 bin in $$B^+\rightarrow K^+\mu ^+\mu ^-$$ B + → K + μ + μ - ($$5.1\sigma $$ 5.1 σ ) and $$B_s\rightarrow \phi \mu ^+\mu ^-$$ B s → ϕ μ + μ - ($$4.8\sigma $$ 4.8 σ ).
We investigate the physics reach and potential for the study of various decays involving a $$ b\to s\nu \overline{\nu} $$ b → sν ν ¯ transition at the Future Circular Collider running electron-positron collisions at the Z-pole (FCC-ee). Signal and background candidates, which involve inclusive Z contributions from $$ b\overline{b} $$ b b ¯ , $$ c\overline{c} $$ c c ¯ and uds final states, are simulated for a proposed multi-purpose detector. Signal candidates are selected using two Boosted Decision Tree algorithms. We determine expected relative sensitivities of 0.53%, 1.20%, 3.37% and 9.86% for the branching fractions of the $$ {B}^0\to {K}^{\ast 0}\nu \overline{\nu} $$ B 0 → K ∗ 0 ν ν ¯ , $$ {B}_s^0\to \phi \nu \overline{\nu} $$ B s 0 → ϕν ν ¯ , $$ {B}^0\to {K}_S^0\nu \overline{\nu} $$ B 0 → K S 0 ν ν ¯ and $$ {\Lambda}_b^0\to \Lambda \nu \overline{\nu} $$ Λ b 0 → Λ ν ν ¯ decays, respectively. In addition, we investigate the impact of detector design choices related to particle-identification and vertex resolution. The phenomenological impact of such measurements on the extraction of Standard Model and new physics parameters is also studied.
Rare kaon decays offer a powerful tool for investigating new physics in s → d transitions. Currently, many of the interesting decay modes are either measured with rather large uncertainties compared to their theoretical predictions or have not yet been observed. The future HIKE programme at CERN will provide unprecedented sensitivity to rare kaon decays, allowing for strong constraints on new physics scenarios with lepton flavour universality violation. We present the overall picture that emerges from a study of the different decay modes with a global analysis considering projections based on the HIKE programme, both with and without KOTO-II future measurements. We also highlight the most relevant decays and identify that in addition to the “golden channel”, $$ {K}^{+}\to {\pi}^{+}\nu \overline{\nu} $$ K + → π + ν ν ¯ , the rare $$ {K}_L\to {\pi}^0\ell \overline{\ell} $$ K L → π 0 ℓ ℓ ¯ decay, especially in the electron sector offers strong constraints on short-distance physics.
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