2010
DOI: 10.1016/j.jinteco.2010.01.002
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The erosion of colonial trade linkages after independence

Abstract: Most independent nations today were part of empires in 1945. Using bilateral trade data from 1948 to 2006, we examine the effect of independence on post-colonial trade. While there is little short-run effect on trade, after four decades trade with the metropole (colonizer) has contracted by about 65%. Hostile separations lead to large, immediate reductions in trade. We also find that trade between former colonies of the same empire erodes as much as trade with the metropole, whereas trade with third countries … Show more

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Cited by 820 publications
(643 citation statements)
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“…One problem is worth mentioning here. As more extensively discussed in Head et al (2010), zeros in the trade data can either represent "true" zeros (i.e. no trade actually occurs between the two countries)…”
Section: Empirical Methodologymentioning
confidence: 99%
“…One problem is worth mentioning here. As more extensively discussed in Head et al (2010), zeros in the trade data can either represent "true" zeros (i.e. no trade actually occurs between the two countries)…”
Section: Empirical Methodologymentioning
confidence: 99%
“…These measures are supposed to account for the economic attractiveness of both countries. In order 6 The source of the distance and common language variables is CEPII bilateral trade data (Head, Mayer, & Ries, 2010). For more information please refer to: http://www.cepii.fr/anglaisgraph/bdd/distances.htm to control for the internationalisation of economic activity, we also include measures of foreign direct investment for each country (in current US$).…”
Section: The Determinants Of International Technological Collaborationmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…This flexibility is important to pick up trade cost changes when they de facto occur (not when we would de jure expect them), and allows the strength of such effects to develop over time (rather than imposing a constant effect). The resulting model -estimated using bilateral trade data over the period 1980-2004 with data for trade liberalisation (both provided by the CEPIITradeProd and CEPII-Gravity databases; Head et al, 2010;de Sousa et al, 2012) -provides a very good approximation of trade flows, with an average R 2 of 98% (88% when looking exclusively at variation within country-pairs over time), and variables used as trade cost proxies are statistically significant well beyond the 99% confidence level. From this set of estimations, we extract predicted values for bilateral trade integration as follows (Head and Mayer, 2011): 22 21 Moreover, regional trade agreements may be endogeneous (Baier and Bergstrand, 2007).…”
Section: Measuring Trade Liberalization (And Market Potential)mentioning
confidence: 98%
“…Clearly, as the tax gap between countries i and j is the same as that between countries j and i, we only include each country- 15 The set of countries includes Australia, Austria, Canada, Switzerland, Germany, Denmark, Spain, Finland, France, Great-Britain, Greece, Hungary, Ireland, Italy, Iceland, Japan, Korea, Mexico, the Netherlands, Norway, New-Zealand, Poland, Portugal, Sweden, Turkey and US. The starting point follows from the availability of corporate tax rate data (source: Loretz, 2008), while the endpoint is due to the lack of data allowing for the correction of the endogeneity of liberalisation after 2004 (source: CEPII-TradeProd and CEPII-Gravity databases; Head et al, 2010;de Sousa et al, 2012). Although using trade flow data provided by, for instance, the IMF might have allowed us to slightly extend our time dimension, we prefer to rely on the CEPII-TradeProd dataset because it exploits mirror trade flows (i.e., it reports on both exporting and importing countries), which significantly improves both the coverage and accuracy of trade data (see Mayer et al, 2008 EATR is the most appropriate measure.…”
Section: Model Specificationmentioning
confidence: 99%