2022
DOI: 10.1002/pam.22393
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The Effects of Youth Employment on Crime: Evidence from New York City Lotteries

Abstract: Recent policy discussions have proposed government‐guaranteed jobs, including for youth. One key potential benefit of youth employment is a reduction in criminal justice contact. Prior work on summer youth employment programs has documented little‐to‐no effect of the program on crime during the program but has found decreases in violent and other serious crimes among “at‐risk” youth in the year or two after the program. We add to this picture by studying randomized lotteries for access to the New York City Sum… Show more

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Cited by 7 publications
(28 citation statements)
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“…There is perhaps a bit of flattening in the middle of the graph, but overall, the declines in costly outcomes clearly grow with the size of the control mean. This pattern has been seen in one-way interactions within individual studies; Boston and Chicago had significantly bigger violent-crime effects for those with prior records than those without Davis and Heller, 2020), and those with prior arrests have larger point estimates for arrests and convictions than those without (Kessler et al, 2021). The analysis here shows that a similar pattern holds across outcomes in the same place (Panel A of Figure 2), across outcomes in different places and times (Panel B), and across subgroups in different places and times (Panel C).…”
Section: Estimating Effect Heterogeneity By Baseline Risk Levelmentioning
confidence: 69%
See 1 more Smart Citation
“…There is perhaps a bit of flattening in the middle of the graph, but overall, the declines in costly outcomes clearly grow with the size of the control mean. This pattern has been seen in one-way interactions within individual studies; Boston and Chicago had significantly bigger violent-crime effects for those with prior records than those without Davis and Heller, 2020), and those with prior arrests have larger point estimates for arrests and convictions than those without (Kessler et al, 2021). The analysis here shows that a similar pattern holds across outcomes in the same place (Panel A of Figure 2), across outcomes in different places and times (Panel B), and across subgroups in different places and times (Panel C).…”
Section: Estimating Effect Heterogeneity By Baseline Risk Levelmentioning
confidence: 69%
“…Summer youth employment programs (SYEPs) provide a useful example of how multiple sets of positive findings can establish the potential of an approach without answering core questions about how expanded investments would work. Experiments in Chicago, New York, and Boston have found generally similar patterns of SYEPs' effects: large declines in criminal justice involvement and violence, with little improvement in future employment on average (Heller, 2014;Davis and Heller, 2020;Kessler et al, 2021;Gelber et al, 2016). Education impacts are more mixed, with most studies finding small or no improvements in high school or college outcomes (Schwartz et al, 2015;Leos-Urbel, 2014;Davis and Heller, 2020;Heller, 2014;Gelber et al, 2016), and one suggesting larger benefits (Modestino and Paulsen, 2019).…”
Section: Introductionmentioning
confidence: 95%
“…For instance, scholars have advocated for correctional education that includes vocational training as a means of preparing incarcerated individuals to re-enter society (Davis et al, 2013). Similarly, for adolescents, scholars often evaluate the effectiveness of job preparation and the features of vocational training programs in reducing delinquency (Ameen & Lee, 2012; Heller, 2014; Kessler et al, 2022). Our findings support the importance of work for adolescents and adults, as working zero hours was associated with the highest likelihood of offending for both populations.…”
Section: Discussionmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…In these programmes, participants typically work an agreed number of hours, usually around 25 h a week. Wraparound support can be offered such as pre‐work training and employability skills support (see below) (Davis & Heller, 2020 ; Gelber et al, 2016 ; Heller, 2022 ; Kessler et al, 2022 ; Leos‐Urbel, 2014 ; Modestino & Paulsen, 2019a ; Modestino, 2019b ; Schwartz et al, 2021 ; Theodos et al, 2014 ; Valentine et al, 2017 ).…”
Section: Design Features Of Summer Programmes and Their Theories Of C...mentioning
confidence: 99%
“…Settings in which participants gain work experience include summer camps, day care centres, community‐based organisations, law firms, hospitals, museums, and schools, among others. Roles can include summer camp staff, community garden workers, school infrastructure improvement, and administrative support (Davis & Heller, 2020 ; Gelber et al, 2016 ; Heller, 2014 ; Kessler et al, 2022 ; Lansing et al, 2018 ; Leos‐Urbel, 2014 ; Modestino & Paulsen, 2019a ; Schwartz et al, 2021 ; Valentine et al, 2017 ).…”
Section: Design Features Of Summer Programmes and Their Theories Of C...mentioning
confidence: 99%