Background: Despite the very high sensitivity of the Systemic Inflammatory Response Syndrome (SIRS) score for identifying sepsis, there remains a subset of septic patients who exhibit negative SIRS scores, and unfortunately, many of these patients experience poor outcomes. This study aims to investigate the factors associated with SIRS negativity during the early stage of sepsis in deceased patients, and to explore the nonlinear relationships between SIRS negativity and these factors.
Objective: To analyse the factors related to systemic inflammatory response syndrome (SIRS) negativity during the early stage of sepsis in nonsurviving septic patients and to explore the nonlinear associations between SIRS negativity and related factors.
Methods: Adult septic patients were retrospectively screened in the Medical Information Mart for Intensive Care IV (MIMIC-IV) database from 2008 to 2019. Patients who did not survive after 28 days were assigned to the SIRS-negative or SIRS-positive group according to whether the SIRS score was less than two points within 24 hours of intensive care unit (ICU) admission. The baseline data of patients in the SIRS-negative and SIRS-positive groups were collected and compared. The factors associated with SIRS negativity in septic patients were analysed by logistic regression. The dose‒response relationships of SIRS negativity with SOFA score and age were determined with a restricted cubic spline model.
Results: A total of 53,150 patients were screened in the MIMIC-IV database, and 2706 sepsis nonsurvivors were ultimately included, 101 of whom were negative for SIRS. There were significant differences in SOFA scores between groups (8.18±3.58 vs. 9.75±4.28, P<0.001). In addition, differences in several other parameters, such as age (76 [61 to 86] vs. 72 [60 to 82], P=0.053), body mass index (26 [22 to 31] vs. 27 [24 to 32], P=0.056) and Charlson comorbidity index (8 [6 to 9] vs. 7 [5 to 9], P=0.052], approached statistical significance. Logistic regression analysis indicated that both SOFA score (OR=0.93 [95% CI=0.87-1.00], P=0.046) and age (OR=1.04 [95% CI=0.88-1.15], P=0.012) were independent factors related to SIRS negativity in septic patients. Analysis with a restricted cubic spline model showed that the odds ratio (OR) of SIRS negativity continued to increase with age, particularly for those over 80 years old (p for nonlinearity=0.024). The odds ratio of SIRS negativity was more than 1 when the SOFA score was less than 4 (p for nonlinearity=0.261).
Conclusions: In septic patients with a poor prognosis, elderly individuals (over 80 years old) are more likely to exhibit SIRS negativity during the early stage of sepsis, particularly when they present with mild organ dysfunction (SOFA score less than 4). Neither comorbidities nor BMI was related to SIRS negativity in septic patients with a poor prognosis.