The effects of party identification on perceptions of pledge fulfilment: Evidence from Portugal

Belchior, Ana Maria

doi:10.1177/0192512118791298

Cited by 18 publications

(11 citation statements)

References 36 publications

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“…Of course, how people perceive and evaluate political information in general (Simon ; Campbell et al. , 133; Evans & Andersen ) and pledge performance in particular, might be moderated by their prior beliefs (Belchior ; Markwat ; Duval & Pétry ). Belchior () has argued and shown for Portugal that people who do not sympathise with the government and who identify with an opposition party are more likely to be biased in judging actual fulfilled pledges as broken.…”

Section: Retrospective Pledge Votingmentioning

confidence: 99%

“…, 133; Evans & Andersen ) and pledge performance in particular, might be moderated by their prior beliefs (Belchior ; Markwat ; Duval & Pétry ). Belchior () has argued and shown for Portugal that people who do not sympathise with the government and who identify with an opposition party are more likely to be biased in judging actual fulfilled pledges as broken. But, this is not necessarily inconsistent with my argument: voters who identify with and/or voted in a previous election for a government party are expected to be better at accurately evaluating that party's pledge performance.…”

Section: Retrospective Pledge Votingmentioning

confidence: 99%

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Retrospective pledge voting: A comparative study of the electoral consequences of government parties’ pledge fulfilment

Matthieß

2020

European J Political Res

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Does pledge fulfilment bear any electoral consequences for government parties? While previous research on retrospective voting has largely focused on electoral accountability with respect to the economy, the theoretical framework presented in this study links government parties' performance to their previous electoral pledges. It is argued that government parties are more likely to be rewarded by voters when they have fulfilled more pledges during the legislative term. Good pledge performance of a party is associated with the ability to maximise policy benefits (accomplishment) and to be a responsible actor that will stick to its promises in the future as well (competence). Analysing data from 69 elections in 14 countries shows that a government party's electoral outcome is affected by its previous pledge performance. A government party that fulfils a higher share of election pledges is more likely to prevent electoral losses. This finding indicates that voters react at the polls to party pledge fulfilment, which highlights the crucial role of promissory representation in democratic regimes. Surprisingly and in contrast with economic voting, there is no evidence that retrospective pledge voting is moderated by clarity of responsibility.

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Section: Retrospective Pledge Votingmentioning

confidence: 99%

Section: Retrospective Pledge Votingmentioning

confidence: 99%

Retrospective pledge voting: A comparative study of the electoral consequences of government parties’ pledge fulfilment

Matthieß

2020

European J Political Res

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“…As advocated in the seminal work by Campbell and colleagues, "identification with a party raises a perceptual screen through which the individual tends to see what is favourable to his partisan orientation" (Campbell et al, 1960: 133). Since Campbell, this argument of partisan selective evaluation has been widely reaffirmed (Belchior, 2019;Tilley et al, 2008). In this vein, the preferred party being in cabinet is among the most important predictors of political trust (Denters, Gabriel and Torcal, 2007;Gershtenson, Ladewig and Plane, 2006).…”

Section: Iii) Control Variablesmentioning

confidence: 99%

Determinants of Political Trust during the Early Months of the COVID-19 Pandemic: Putting Policy Performance into Evidence

Belchior

Teixeira

2021

Political Studies Review

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Basing on the previous and early months of the COVID-19 pandemic, this article analysis the main determinants of citizens’ trust in the prime minister over that period. Prior research on the political effects of the pandemic has mostly focused on identifying a rally around the flag effect, and little is known about other reasons behind the increase in trust after the outbreak of the pandemic. Based on survey data from February to July 2020 for Spanish citizens, we argue that the reasons for the increased trust in the prime minister following the pandemic outbreak are due more to performance evaluations than to emotional-related factors regarding COVID-19 health issues. We also argue that among performance evaluations, the assessment of policy performance in fighting the COVID-19 crisis is of preeminent relevance in explaining trust in the prime minister during the pandemic period. Findings widely support our argument. By comparing the effects of conventional to emotional-related factors, we extend scholarship on political trust in the context of an exogenous crisis.

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“…A recent strand of research analyzes public perceptions of electoral pledge fulfillment (e.g. Belchior, 2019 ; Duval and Pétry, 2020 ; Thomson, 2011 ; Thomson and Brandenburg, 2019 ). These studies show that citizens’ perceptions of actual pledge fulfillment vary substantially and are often incorrect.…”

Section: The Parliamentary Issue Agendamentioning

confidence: 99%

Disseminating legislative debates: How legislators communicate the parliamentary agenda

Huber¹,

Bodlos²,

Graf

et al. 2020

Party Politics

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While a rich literature addresses legislative agenda-setting in multiparty democracies, relatively little is known how members of parliament disseminate the legislative agenda beyond the parliamentary floor. Drawing on content analyses of 110 legislative debates and 5,847 press releases from Austrian MPs (2013–2017), we test whether legislators are more likely to send press releases on issues that are salient to their party ( party agenda-setting) and to other parties in the party system ( systemic salience). MPs should also communicate more on issues that fall within their area of expertise ( issue specialization) and when they have given a speech on that issue during the legislative debate ( intra-party delegation). While we find empirical support for all these expectations, communication of the legislative agenda largely rests on each parties’ issue specialists and their speakers in plenary debates. Importantly, there is no significant discrepancy overall between the actual parliamentary issue agenda and the agenda communicated by party MPs.

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The effects of party identification on perceptions of pledge fulfilment: Evidence from Portugal

Cited by 18 publications

References 36 publications

Retrospective pledge voting: A comparative study of the electoral consequences of government parties’ pledge fulfilment

Retrospective pledge voting: A comparative study of the electoral consequences of government parties’ pledge fulfilment

Determinants of Political Trust during the Early Months of the COVID-19 Pandemic: Putting Policy Performance into Evidence

Disseminating legislative debates: How legislators communicate the parliamentary agenda

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