The effectiveness of testing, vaccinations and contact restrictions for containing the CoViD-19 pandemic

Gabler, Janoś; Raabe, Tobias; Röhrl, Klara; Gaudecker, Hans-Martin von

doi:10.1038/s41598-022-12015-9

Cited by 10 publications

(7 citation statements)

References 31 publications

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“…Finally, the results showed that seasonality may have an effect in slowing the spread of infections. Incidence was substantially lower in the summer compared to the winter months in Neukölln, which is in line with previous research that found that infectiousness increased during winter, owing to more frequent indoor gatherings and weakened immune systems ( 10 , 11 , 71 ).…”

Section: Discussionsupporting

confidence: 91%

“…The impact of testing on the occurrence of cases has also been shown in other regions and in other pandemic phases ( 14 , 70 ). Still, frequent and large-scale rapid testing was evidently an effective means of decreasing case numbers in Germany during the third pandemic wave ( 71 ). The introduction of rapid antigen tests has made it possible to identify cases that would otherwise remain undetected and to isolate infected individuals in time before the infection was passed on to others.…”

Section: Discussionmentioning

confidence: 99%

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Exploration of the COVID-19 pandemic at the neighborhood level in an intra-urban setting

Schmitz

Lakes

Manafa

et al. 2023

Front. Public Health

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The COVID-19 pandemic represents a worldwide threat to health. Since its onset in 2019, the pandemic has proceeded in different phases, which have been shaped by a complex set of influencing factors, including public health and social measures, the emergence of new virus variants, and seasonality. Understanding the development of COVID-19 incidence and its spatiotemporal patterns at a neighborhood level is crucial for local health authorities to identify high-risk areas and develop tailored mitigation strategies. However, analyses at the neighborhood level are scarce and mostly limited to specific phases of the pandemic. The aim of this study was to explore the development of COVID-19 incidence and spatiotemporal patterns of incidence at a neighborhood scale in an intra-urban setting over several pandemic phases (March 2020–December 2021). We used reported COVID-19 case data from the health department of the district Berlin-Neukölln, Germany, additional socio-demographic data, and text documents and materials on implemented public health and social measures. We examined incidence over time in the context of the measures and other influencing factors, with a particular focus on age groups. We used incidence maps and spatial scan statistics to reveal changing spatiotemporal patterns. Our results show that several factors may have influenced the development of COVID-19 incidence. In particular, the far-reaching measures for contact reduction showed a substantial impact on incidence in Neukölln. We observed several age group-specific effects: school closures had an effect on incidence in the younger population (< 18 years), whereas the start of the vaccination campaign had an impact primarily on incidence among the elderly (> 65 years). The spatial analysis revealed that high-risk areas were heterogeneously distributed across the district. The location of high-risk areas also changed across the pandemic phases. In this study, existing intra-urban studies were supplemented by our investigation of the course of the pandemic and the underlying processes at a small scale over a long period of time. Our findings provide new insights for public health authorities, community planners, and policymakers about the spatiotemporal development of the COVID-19 pandemic at the neighborhood level. These insights are crucial for guiding decision-makers in implementing mitigation strategies.

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Section: Discussionsupporting

confidence: 91%

Section: Discussionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Exploration of the COVID-19 pandemic at the neighborhood level in an intra-urban setting

Schmitz

Lakes

Manafa

et al. 2023

Front. Public Health

View full text Add to dashboard Cite

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“…With the COVID‐19 pandemic accelerating, provisions for remote work have also been used to protect employees from being infected at the workplace. By way of avoiding potentially hazardous commutes as well as crowded office spaces, providing employees with remote work options has served as one of the most powerful weapons for protecting employees during the pandemic (Gabler et al, 2021; Neumann et al, 2020). In our estimate, the dependent variable takes the value of “1” when there are provisions available at the establishment level which allow employees to take advantage of remote work/home office arrangements.…”

Section: Variables and Resultsmentioning

confidence: 99%

Delivering the goods? German industrial relations institutions during the COVID‐19 crisis

Behrens

Pekarek

2022

Industrial Relations

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The COVID‐19 pandemic has caused labor market disruptions at an unprecedented scale and is akin to a stress test for industrial relations institutions. Drawing on a large‐scale ( n = 6111) study of German employees, we empirically investigate whether and how the two institutions comprising Germany's dual system of employee representation—works councils and collective bargaining—have delivered on their protective potential and mitigated the impact of the pandemic on workers. We demonstrate that employees in representative environments fare better on a range of protective outcomes.

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“…The copyright holder for this preprint this version posted September 9, 2022. ; https://doi.org/10.1101/2022.09.05.22279618 doi: medRxiv preprint leading to increased number of contagions and further spread of the disease [34].…”

Section: Covid-19 Testing Technologiesmentioning

confidence: 99%

“…Mass testing using RT-qPCR for the entire population is infeasible for most countries. Moreover, increased testing volumes can rapidly saturate a limited number of analysis facilities, September 5, 2022 3/37 leading to increased number of contagions and further spread of the disease [34].…”

Section: Covid-19 Testing Technologiesmentioning

confidence: 99%

Estimating the performance of mass testing strategies for COVID-19: a case study for Costa Rica

Solís

Pasquier

Núñez-Corrales

et al. 2022

Preprint

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Devising effective mass testing strategies to control and suppress COVID-19 pandemic waves make up a complex sociotechnical challenge. It requires a trade-off between performing detection technologies in terms of specificity and sensitivity, and the availability and cost of individual tests per technology. Overcoming this trade-off requires first predicting the level of risk of exposure across the population available. Then selecting testing strategies that match resources to maximize positive case detection and optimize the number of tests and their total cost during sustained mass testing campaigns. In this article, we derive the behavior of four different mass testing strategies, grounded in guidelines and public health policies issued by the Costa Rican public healthcare system. We assume a (privacy-preserving) pre-classifier applied to patient data, Capable of partitioning suspected individuals into low-risk and high-risk groups. We consider the impact of three testing technologies, RT-qPCR, antigen-based testing and saliva-based testing (RT-LAMP). When available, we introduced a category of essential workers. Numerical simulation results confirm that strategies using only RT-qPCR tests cannot achieve sufficient stock capacity to provide efficient detection regardless of prevalence, sensitivity, or specificity. Strategies that harness the power of both pooling and RT-LAMP either maximize stock capacity or detection, efficiency, or both. Our work reveals that investing both in data quality and classification accuracy can improve the odds of achieving pandemic control and mitigation. Future work will concentrate, based on our findings, on constructing representative synthetic data through agent-based modeling and studying the properties of specific pre-classifiers under various scenarios.

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The effectiveness of testing, vaccinations and contact restrictions for containing the CoViD-19 pandemic

Cited by 10 publications

References 31 publications

Exploration of the COVID-19 pandemic at the neighborhood level in an intra-urban setting

Exploration of the COVID-19 pandemic at the neighborhood level in an intra-urban setting

Delivering the goods? German industrial relations institutions during the COVID‐19 crisis

Estimating the performance of mass testing strategies for COVID-19: a case study for Costa Rica

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