2009
DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.1553790
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The Effect of Nominal Exchange Rate Volatility on Real Macroeconomic Performance in the CEE Countries

Abstract: This paper analyzes the relation between nominal exchange rate volatility and several macroeconomic variables, namely real per output growth, excess credit, foreign direct investment (FDI) and the current account balance, in the Central and Eastern European EU Member States. Using panel estimations for the period between 1995 and 2008, we find that lower exchange rate volatility is associated with higher growth, higher stocks of FDI, higher current account deficits, and higher excess credit. The results are ec… Show more

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Cited by 13 publications
(16 citation statements)
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References 81 publications
(21 reference statements)
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“…However, there are similar studies [4,17] whose empirical results negate the finding of this study. [4,17] found that there is existence of negative and significant relationship of the volatility of exchange rates on FDI.…”
Section: Multiple Regression Analysiscontrasting
confidence: 45%
See 1 more Smart Citation
“…However, there are similar studies [4,17] whose empirical results negate the finding of this study. [4,17] found that there is existence of negative and significant relationship of the volatility of exchange rates on FDI.…”
Section: Multiple Regression Analysiscontrasting
confidence: 45%
“…[17] found that there is the existence of a strong negative and significant impact on the volatility of the real exchange rate on investment at the plant in Colombia. [4] found that there is the existence of the negative and significant relationship of the volatility of exchange rates on FDI in member countries of the EU to Central and Eastern Europe.…”
Section: Literature Reviewmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…Levy-Yeyati a Sturzenegger (Levy-Yeyati a Sturzenegger, 2001) observed implications of exchange rate volatility on domestic price level, money supply, real interest rates and real output in 154 countries since 1974 till 1979. Arratibel, Furceri, Martin and Zdzienicka (Arratibel, Furceri, Martin and Zdzienicka, 2011) investigated relationships between exchange rates development and foreign direct investments, domestic loans and current account on the sample of 9 countries from the Central and Eastern Europe. Lee a Chinn (Lee a Chinn, 1998) analyzed implications of real exchange rate fluctuations on the current account development in 7 most developed industrial countries.…”
Section: Overview Of the Literaturementioning
confidence: 99%
“…The studies that report significant relationship between current account and exchange rate includes: [8], [9], [10] & [11] etc. [8] focus their study in Euro countries.…”
Section: Literature Reviewmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…Based on basic auto regression estimation, the results indicate that a more flexible exchange rate regime significantly enhances the rate of current account adjustment. [11] use standard computable general equilibrium (CGE) to analyse the economics of the country Sudan. They prove that devaluation of Sudan's currency has improved their country international competitiveness and balance of payments.…”
Section: Literature Reviewmentioning
confidence: 99%